October 2006 Nikkei Regular Telephone Opinion Poll (06-13)

Key Issues
  • Support for the new Abe administration
  • Education reform
  • Abe Cabinet’s response to North Korea
  • LDP Postal Rebels
Dates Conducted

October 27 - 29, 2006

Methodology

Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

Background

This poll was taken approximately one month after the inauguration of Abe Shinzo as prime minister of Japan on September 26, 2006. Prime Minister Abe surprised many observers by visiting South Korea and China in early October as his first official trips abroad. While meeting with South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun on October 9, North Korea conducted its first underground nuclear test, sending shockwaves around the world. In response to the nuclear test, the Abe Cabinet announced tough new sanctions against the regime.

Survey

Q1. Do you support or not support the Abe Cabinet? (N=954)

Support 68%
Not support 21%
Can't say/don't know 10%

 

Q1SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q1, what is the reason for your support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=653)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 22%
Good policies 12%
Good sense of international affairs 18%
Leadership 12%
Stability 19%
Can trust members' personalities 50%
Clean 22%
Others 3%
Can't say/don't know 3%

 

Q1SQ2. For those who answered “don’t support” in Q1, what is the reason for your lack of support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=203)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 35%
Bad policies 33%
Bad sense of international affairs 10%
Lack of leadership 28%
Instability 20%
Cannot trust members' personalities 17%
Not clean 2%
Others 8%
Can't say/don't know 6%

 

Q2. What political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=954)

Liberal Democratic Party 42%
Democratic Party ofJapan 16%
Komeito 3%
JapanCommunist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 1%
The People's New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 0%
Do not support any party 31%
Can't say/don't know 5%

 

Q2SQ. For those who answered “don’t support any party” or “can’t say/don’t know” in Q2, if you have to choose one party, which party do you feel is most preferable? Please choose only one. (N=342)

Liberal Democratic Party 24%
Democratic Party ofJapan 14%
Komeito 2%
JapanCommunist Party 4%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 3%
The People's New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 1%
Do not support any party 39%
Can't say/don't know 13%

[Support + preferable parties (N=954)]

Liberal Democratic Party 51%
Democratic Party ofJapan 20%
Komeito 4%
JapanCommunist Party 4%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 2%
The People's New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 1%
Do not support any party 14%
Can't say/don't know 5%

 

Q3. Do you support or not support the Abe Cabinet’s first month of performance? (N=954)

Support 53%
Not support 28%
Neither support or not support 10%
Can't say/don't know 10%

 

Q3SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q3, what is the primary reason for your answer? Please choose only one of the following. (N=505)

Staffing of the Cabinet and LDP leadership 6%
Fiscal reconstruction and economic policy 5%
Education reform 17%
Remarks regarding history issues 3%
(Abe's) visit toChinaandSouth Korea 38%
Response toNorth Korea's nuclear test 28%
Others 1%
Can't say/don't know 2%

 

Q3SQ2. For those who answered “not support” in Q4, what is the primary reason for your answer? Please choose only one of the following. (N=266)

Staffing of the Cabinet and LDP leadership 16%
Fiscal reconstruction and economic policy 32%
Education reform 15%
Remarks regarding history issues 8%
(Abe's) visit toChinaandSouth Korea 2%
Response toNorth Korea's nuclear test 18%
Others 3%
Can't say/don't know 7%

 

Q4. The Japanese government has strengthened sanctions on North Korea in response to its missile launch and nuclear test. What do you think about it? (N=954)

Sanctions are too severe 5%
Sanctions are appropriate 50%
Sanctions should be further strengthened 36%
Can't say/don't know 9%

 

Q5.The Abe administration has launched a “Panel for Education Reform.” What do you expect to see regarding the following agendas of education reform? Please choose as many as apply from the following. (N=954)

Accelerating competition by the school evaluation system 11%
Improvement in quality of teachers by license renewal system 50%
Introduction of education voucher system 8%
Bolstering countermeasures to bullying problem 40%
Uplifting a sense of public morality and discipline 24%
Flexible education system, like fall admissions 9%
Strengthening international competitiveness of higher education 17%
Support for families raising children 34%
Others 1%
Can't say/don't know 12%

 

Q6. The government and LDP have been reconsidering the reform of the scandal-tainted Social Insurance Agency. What do you think the overhaul of the Agency should be like? (N=954)

Dismantlement of the Agency 37%
Keep the Agency but reform the management system/governing structure 28%
Keep the Agency but reform operation system 25%
Can't say/don't know 10%

 

Q7. The LDP leadership is discussing whether to return “rebels” who opposed the postal privatization and left the LDP in the Lower House election last year. What do you think about it? (N=954)

Support 33%
Oppose 51%
Can't say/don't know 16%

 

Q8. Do you think that control of the government should change from the ruling to the opposition parties? (N=954)

Yes 57%
No 32%
Can't say/don't know 12%

 

Q9. How interested are you in politics? (N=954)

Very interested 18%
Somewhat interested 58%
Not so interested 15%
Not at all interested 2%
Can't say/don't know 8%

 

F1. Gender (judged by interviewers, N=954)

Male 47%
Female 53%
Unknown 0%

 

F2. Age (N=954, Average: 52.4)

20s 7%
30s 19%
40s 18%
50s 20%
60s 17%
Over 70 18%
Refuse to answer 2%

 

F3. What is your occupation? Please choose one from the following. (N=954)

Agriculture, forestry, fishery 4%
Employed (corporate employee, bureaucrat, teacher, etc.) 44%
Self-employed (business, engineer), freelance (including family business) 13%
Housewife (without any outside job) 19%
Student 1%
Unemployed 18%
Refuse to answer 2%

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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