Nikkei Shimbun September 2008 Special Telephone Opinion Poll (08-21)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
Dates Conducted

September 24 and 25, 2008

Methodology

Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

Survey

*All numbers are percentages
*Number in parentheses are the number of respondents

Q1. Do you support or not support the Aso Cabinet? (N=788)

Support 45%
Do not support 37
Can not say; Do not know 18

 

SQ1. For those who answered “can not say/do not know” in Q1: Which is closest to your position? (N=141)

Support 44%
Do not support 20
Can not say; Do not know 37

[Total rate of support (N=788)]

Support 53%
Do not support 40
Can not say; Do not know 7

 

SQ2. For those who answered “support” in Q1: What is the reason for your support? Please select as many as apply from the following seven. (N=419)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 25%
Its policies are good 8
It has an international sensibility 18
It has leadership 33
It appears to be stable 12
Can trust its members’ personalities 23
Politically clean 7
Other 5
Can not say; Do not know 7

 

SQ3. For those who answered “do not support” in Q1: What is the reason for your lack of support? Please select as many as apply from the following seven. (N=317)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 49%
Its policies are bad 18
It does not have an international sensibility 13
It does not have a sense of leadership 19
It does not appear to be stable 32
Cannot trust its members’ personality 33
Politically it is not clean 10
Other 2
Can not say; Do not know 4

Q2. Which political party do you support right now? Please select one. (N=788)

Liberal Democratic Party 34%
Democratic Party of Japan 22
New Komeito Party 4
Japan Communist Party 2
Social Democratic Party of Japan 1
The New People’s Party 1
The New Party Nippon 0
Other 0
Do not support any party 31
Can not say; Do not know 5

 

SQ1. For those who answered “do not support any party” or “can not say/do not know” in Q2: If you had to select one, which party do you prefer? Please select one only. (N=278)

Liberal Democratic Party 19%
Democratic Party of Japan 25
New Komeito Party 1
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party of Japan 1
The New People’s Party 1
The New Party Nippon 0
Other 0
Do not support any party 38
Can not say; Do not know 12

[Support + preferable parties (N=788)]

Liberal Democratic Party 41%
Democratic Party of Japan 31
New Komeito Party 4
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party of Japan 2
The New People’s Party 1
The New Party Nippon 0
Other 0
Do not support any party 13
Can not say; Do not know 4

Q3. Do you support or not support the lineup of the Aso cabinet and new leadership of the Liberal Democratic Party? (N=788)

Support 30%
Not support 44
Neither support nor not support 12
Can not say; Do not know 14

 

SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q3: What is the primary reason for your support? (N=239)

Faction-based nominations were eliminated 8%
Meritocratic emphasis 20
Larger number of younger members 26
Larger number of women 13
Appears to be stable 27
Other 3
Can not say; Do not know 3

SQ2. For those who answered “do not support” in Q3: What is the primary reason for your lack of support? (N=346)

Faction-based nominations have reappeared 28%
Not enough meritocratic emphasis 10
Not enough younger members 13
Not enough women 4
Lacks the appearance of stability 32
Other 7
Can not say; Do not know 5

Q4. Do you think that the House of Representatives should be dissolved and a general election held? (N=788)

It should be dissolved as soon as possible 24%
It should be dissolved by the end of the year 30
It should be dissolved at the beginning of next year’s regular session of the Diet 6
It should be dissolved next spring, once the budget is complete 7
It does not need to be dissolved 24
Other 0
Can not say; Do not know 8

Q5. Which policy areas do you think should receive the most emphasis in the next House of Representatives election? Select as many as apply (N=788)

Pensions and healthcare 57%
Economic measures 52
Fiscal reconstruction 27
Foreign policy and national security 18
Politics and money 19
Food safety 36
Educational reform 22
Decentralization 10
Other 0
Can not say; Do not know 4

Q6. During the next election for the House of Representatives, which party will you vote for in your proportional-representation district? (N=788)

Liberal Democratic Party 36%
Democratic Party of Japan 33
New Komeito Party 5
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party of Japan 1
The New People’s Party 1
The New Party Nippon 0
Other 0
Undecided 11
Will abstain 2
Can not say; Do not know 6

Q7. Who do you think is suitable to serve as the next prime minister after the next House of Representatives election? (N=788)

Taro Aso 35
Ichiro Ozawa 22
Neither 39
Can not say; Do not know 4

Q8. What is the most desirable form for the next administration? (N=788)

Administration centered on the LDP 19%
Administration centered on the DPJ 19
LDP-DPJ coalition 50
Other 3
Can not answer; Do not know 9

 

Polling Information

F1. Gender (judged by the interviewers; N=866)

Male 43%
Female 57
Unknown 0

   

F2. What is your age? (N=866)

20s 5%
30s 19
40s 17
50s 17
60s 24
70s 15
Refused to answer 3

Average=53.3 years old

 

F3. What is your occupation? Please select one of the following (N=866)

Agriculture, forestry and fishing 3%
Employed (corporate employee, civil servant, teacher, etc.) 40
Self-employed, freelance (including family business) 13
Housewife (without any outside jobs) 23
Student 1
Unemployed 17
Refused to answer 3

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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