Nikkei Shimbun December 2008 Telephone Opinion Poll (08-32)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Budget and economic policies
  • House of Representatives general election
Dates Conducted

December 26 and 27, 2008

Methodology

Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

 

Survey

*All numbers are percentages
*Numbers in parentheses are the total number of respondents

Q1.  Do you support or not support the Aso Cabinet? (N=922)

Support 19
Do not support 68
Cannot say/Do not know 13

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Cannot say”/“Do not know”] Which of the following is closest to your feelings? (N=122)

Support 18
Do not support 38
Cannot say/Do not know 44

  [Total (combined) approval rating (N=922)]

Support 21
Do not support 73
Cannot say/Do not know 6

SQ2.  [For those who answered “Support”] What are the reasons you support the Cabinet?  Please choose all that apply from the following seven answers: (N=194)

Because it is an LDP Cabinet 48
Because it has good policies 8
Because it is Internationally minded 22
Because it has good leadership 13
Because it is stable 5
Because of the trustworthy character of its members 19
Because it is politically clean 10
Other 7
Cannot say/Do not know 7

 

SQ3.  [For those who answered “Do not support”] What are the reasons you do not support the Cabinet?  Please choose all that apply from the following seven answers: (N=674)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 13
Because its policies are bad 48
Because it is not internationally minded 10
Because of its lack of leadership 49
Because it is not stable 41
Because its members are not trustworthy 31
Because it is not clean politically 4
Other 3
Cannot say/Do not know 3

Q2. Which political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=922)

Liberal Democratic Party 30
Democratic Party of Japan 23
New Komeito 3
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party 1
The People’s New Party 0
Kaikaku Club (Reform Club) 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other political party 1
Do not favor any political party 33
Cannot say/Do not know 4

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Do not support any party” or “Cannot say/Do not know”] If you had to name one, which political party do you favor? (N=345)

Liberal Democratic Party 13
Democratic Party of Japan 25
New Komeito 3
Japan Communist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 1
Kaikaku Club (Reform Club) 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 42
Cannot say/Do not know 11

[Support + Preferred Parties (N=922)]

Liberal Democratic Party 35
Democratic Party of Japan 33
New Komeito 4
Japan Communist Party 5
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 0
The Reform Club 0
The New Party of Japan 1
Other political party 1
Do not favor any political party 16
Cannot say/Do not know 4

Q3. Do you approve or not of the performance of the Aso Cabinet? (N=922)

Approve 16
Do not approve 72
Cannot say either way 8
Cannot say/Do not know 5

SQ1. [For those who answered “Approve”] What is the biggest reason for your approval?  Please choose one from the following answers: (N=146)

Handling of economic measures 36
Handling of financial crisis 16
Handling of pension/medical care issues 13
Handling of diplomacy/national security issues 11
Handling of “politics and money” issues 6
Handling of food safety issues 4
Other 5
Cannot say/Do not know 9

SQ2. [For those who answered “Do not approve”] What is the biggest reason for your lack of approval?  Please choose one from the following answers: (N=661)

Handling of economic measures 42
Handling of financial crisis 14
Handling of pension/medical care issues 19
Handling of foreign policy/national security issues 1
Handling of “politics and money” issues 9
Handling of food safety issues 6
Other 4
Cannot say/Do not know 5

Q4. Prime Minister Aso has called the budget proposal for next year (FY 2009) a “bold, action-oriented budget to defend people’s daily lives.” Do you approve of this policy or not? (N=922)

Approve 24
Do not approve 60
Cannot say either way 5
Cannot say/Do not know 11

Q5. The government’s “medium-term program” for tax reform program [approved by the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy in December 2008] states that the consumption tax will be raised as early as 2011. Do you approve of this or not? (N=938)

Approve 32
Do not approve 56
Cannot say either way 4
Cannot say/Do not know 6

 

Q6. When do you think the dissolution of the House of Representatives and the next general election should be held? (N=922)

It should be dissolved at the beginning of the next year’s regular session of the Diet 40
It should be dissolved in the spring, once the budget is passed 28
There is no need to rush dissolution 17
Other 2
Cannot say/Do not know 10

Q7. What sort of policies will you put priority on when you vote in the next general election? (N=922)

Pensions and healthcare 44
Economic measures 55
Fiscal reconstruction 31
Employment measures 46
Foreign policy and national security 10
Politics and money 14
Food safety 20
Education reform 19
Decentralization 9
Other 1
Cannot say/Do not know 7

Q8. Who do you think is suitable to serve as the next prime minister after the next House of Representatives election? (N=922)

Taro Aso 7
Nobuteru Ishihara 11
Yuriko Koike 7
Hidenao Nakagawa 3
Kaoru Yosano 5
Ichiro Ozawa 17
Katsuya Fukuda 3
Naoto Kan 8
Yukio Hatoyama 3
Seiji Maehara 2
Other 9
Cannot say/Do not know 24

Q10. What is the most desirable form for the next administration? (N=922)

Administration centered on the LDP 12
Administration centered on the DPJ 22
A coalition that includes the LDP and DPJ 49
Other 5
Cannot say/Do not know 11

 

Polling Information

F1. Gender (Determined by the polltaker) (N=922)

Male 47
Female 53
Unknown 0

F2. How old are you? (N=922)

20s 7
30s 16
40s 19
50s 22
60s 17
70 years old or older 16
Refused to answer 3

Average Age         52.7 years

F3. What is your occupation? (N=922)

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 3
Employee (company or governmental employee, teacher, etc.) 46
Self-owned business, self-employed (including a homemaker) 12
Full-time housewife (without job only) 18
Student 1
Unemployed 17
Refused to answer 4

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

Terms of Use

The materials in this site are provided “as is” and without warranties of any kind, either express or implied. To the fullest extent permissible pursuant to applicable law, the Maureen and Mike Mansfield Foundation (“the Foundation”) disclaims all warranties, express or implied, including, but not limited to, implied warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose. The Foundation does not warrant that the materials will be error free or that errors will be corrected. The Foundation does not warrant or make any representations regarding the use or the results of the use of the materials in this site in terms of their correctness, accuracy, timeliness, reliability, or otherwise.

Sign me up for weekly updates

* Email
* First Name
* Last Name
Affiliation
* = Required Field