Mainichi Shimbun August 2010 Public Opinion Poll (10-27)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Kan Cabinet
  • DPJ presidential election
  • Increase in consumption tax
Dates Conducted

August 28 and 29, 2010

Date Released

August 30, 2010 (Morning edition of the Mainichi Shimbun)

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on August 28 and 29, 2010.  Telephone numbers were selected at random using the RDS method.  The total number of those polled was 1,683, with 1,043 responses and a 62% response rate.

Survey

Q1. Do you support or not support the Kan cabinet?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Support 48 (41) 46 50
Do not support 35 (40) 39 31
No interest 16 (19) 14 18

 

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Support”] What is the reason for your support?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
The prime minister is a member of the Democratic Party of Japan 24 (19) 24 25
Hold expectations for their leadership 9 (9) 8 11
Hold expectations for their policies 8 (12) 8 8
The way politics is conducted appears to be changing 55 (59) 58 52

 

SQ2.  [For those who answered “Do not support”] What is the reason for your lack of support?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
The prime minister is a member of the Democratic Party of Japan 6 (8) 10 1
Cannot hold expectations for their leadership 29 (19) 29 30
Cannot hold expectations for their policies 32 (41) 31 32
The way politics is conducted does not appear to be changing 31 (32) 29 34

 

Q2.  Which political party do you support?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Democratic Party ofJapan 31 (30) 34 27
Liberal Democratic Party 18 (15) 17 18
New Komeito 5 (5) 3 6
Your Party 11 (14) 14 8
JapanCommunist Party 2 (3) 2 2
Social Democratic Party 1 (2) 2 1
The People’s New Party 0 (-) 0 -
SunriseParty ofJapan 1 (1) 1 1
New Renaissance Party 1 (1) 0 1
The New Party ofJapan 0 (0) 1 -
Other political party 1 (0) 0 1
Do not favor any political party 30 (30) 25 33

 

Q3.  If Prime Minister Kan is re-elected as representative of the DPJ, would you like him to continue as prime minister?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Would like him to continue 72 71 73
Would like a change 25 26 23

 

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Would like him to continue”] What is your reason for this?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Hold expectations ofPrime MinisterKan’s management of the administration 10 10 10
Prime MinisterKan’s character is good 5 7 4
There shouldn’t be a change in prime minister on a frequent basis 83 82 85

 

SQ2.  [For those who answered “Would like a change”] What is your reason for this?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Do not hold expectations of prime minister’s management of the administration 56 50 61
UnderPrime MinisterKanthe DPJ will not be unified 31 37 25
Should take responsibility for defeat in the House of Councillors election 9 10 9

 

Q4.  Former DPJ President [Ichiro] Ozawa has announced that he will be running in the election for DPJ president.  The DPJ representative will be directly involved in choosing the Japanese prime minster.  Between Mr. Kan and Mr. Ozawa, who do you think is more suited to be prime minister?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
NaotoKan 78 74 81
Ichiro Ozawa 17 20 14

 

Q5. Do you find it desirable or not desirable that Mr. Ozawa’s influence throughout government and within the DPJ will be stronger again?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Desirable 14 (12) 19 10
Not desirable 83 (85) 79 86

 

Q6. Should there be a new DPJ representative following the DPJ presidential election and there is a change in prime minister, should the House of Representatives be immediately dissolved and general elections held?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Should immediately dissolve the House of Representatives 44 46 42
Not necessary to immediately dissolve the House of Representatives 52 51 52

 

Q7.  Within the DPJ there has been internal strife over the manifesto that was set forth in last year’s House of Representatives.  There are those that believe there should be flexibility and that revisions should be made given the financial situation and those that believe policies from the manifesto should be executed as stated.  What are your thoughts on this?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Be flexible and make revisions 70 72 69
Execute policies as stated 27 26 27

 

Q8.  On September 16 it will have been a year since the change in administration from the LDP to the DPJ.  Do you think this change in administration has been good or bad?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Good 62 68 57
Bad 32 27 36

 

Q9.  The DPJ has sought political leadership in which cabinet ministers, senior vice-ministers, and parliamentary officials work together to formulate policies as opposed to just the bureaucrats.  Do you approve or not approve of their efforts?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Approve 54 58 51
Do not approve 41 38 43

 

Q10.  Do you support an increase in the consumption tax?

Total Previous Poll Male Female
Support 51 (45) 58 45
Do not support 44 (52) 38 50

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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