EAI, SBS, The Joongang Daily Regular Public Opinion Poll
Dates Conducted
March 30th – April 1st, 2012
Date Released
April 9, 2012
Key Issue
- General Election
Methodology
Throughout March 30th and April 1st, The Joongang Daily, SBS, East Asia Institute, and Korea Research surveyed voters using the RDD (Random Digit Dialing) method and panel of Korea Research. Response rate was 8.3%. 2000 cases were selected proportionally regarding education level, job and home ownership.
Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.
Survey
Q1. Which political party will you support in the 4.11 general election? (%)
| Local Representative | Proportional Representative | |
| Saenuri Party | 30.0 | 1.9 |
| Democratic United Party | 29.0 | 31.2 |
| Liberty Forward Party | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Unified Progressive Party | 3.8 | 7.7 |
| K-Party | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| New Progressive Party | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| ETC/Independent | 6.9 | 2.5 |
| None/Uncertain | 31.7 | 27.4 |
Q2. How do you score your preference for a political party? (%)
(Full score 100, score 50: The lowest, 100: The highest)
| Saenuri Party | 47 |
| Democratic United Party | 50 |
Q3. Do you expect the result of the 4.11 general election to reflect the public’s judgement on the Lee administration? (%)
| Yes | 63 |
| No/No answer | 37 |
Q4. Do you think opposition parties need to consolidate their candidates for the 4.11 general election? (%)
| Yes | 50.7 |
| No/No answer | 49.3 |
Q5. What political party do you support? (%)
(1758 people/ Mar 31st –Apr 1st)
| Age | Saenuri Party | Democratic United Party |
| 19-29 | 10.6 | 32.9 |
| 30-39 | 19.6 | 37.7 |
| 40-49 | 35.0 | 22.0 |
| 50-59 | 41.8 | 23.8 |
| 60 and Above | 51.9 | 16.8 |
| Total | 30.0 | 29.0 |
Q6. Which party’s nomination procedure do you think positively of? (%)
| Total | Saenuri Party | 32.4 |
| Democratic United Party | 27.1 | |
| Supporters for Saenuri Party | Saenuri Party | 65.2 |
| Democratic United Party | 20.6 | |
| Supporters for Democratic United Party | Saenuri Party | 19.3 |
| Democratic United Party | 43.4 | |
| Non-partisan | Saenuri Party | 16.9 |
| Democratic United Party | 17.4 |
Q7. How do you evaluate the consolidation of candidates from Democratic United Party and United Democratic Party? (%)
| Total | Positive | 50.7 |
| Negative/Indifferent | 47.5 | |
| Supporters for Saenuri Party | Positive | 28.1 |
| Negative/Indifferent | 69.9 | |
| Supporters for Democratic United Party | Positive | 75.9 |
| Negative/Indifferent | 23.5 | |
| Non-partisan | Positive | 44.3 |
| Negative/Indifferent | 32.6 |
Q8. What do you regard as the most important issue in the general election? (%)
| Economic Growth | 22.4 |
| Province Developments | 17.8 |
| Civilian Surveillance | 13.4 |
| Welfare policies | 13.3 |
| KORUS FTA | 12.1 |
| North Korea Nuclear issues | 8.7 |
| Chaebol Restructure | 5.4 |
| Unification of Opposition Parties | 4.0 |
Q9. What is your stance on the restructuring of the “Chaebols”*? (%)
*South Korean form of business conglomerates operating in various domestic, international industries
| Restraint/Prohibition on “Chaebol restructuring” policies | 42.8 |
| Maintenance/Strengthening “Chaebol restructuring” policies | 53.5 |
Q10. What policy do you support with regards to North Korea? (%)
| Hard-line policies | 35.6 |
| Cooperation and exchange policies | 61.7 |
Q11. What policy do you support in terms of welfare? (%)
| Selective Welfare | 69.4 |
| General Welfare | 29.8 |
Q12. What is your stance on the KORUS FTA? (%)
| It should be effective with amendments | 55.2 |
| It cannot be effective without renegotiation | 41.8 |
Q13. What is the most important criterion in choosing which candidate to vote for? (%)
| Competence/Political Career | 36.0 |
| Political Party | 20.4 |
| Ideology/Pledges | 19.7 |
| Morality | 18.5 |
| Possibilities to be elected | 2.0 |
| Hometown | 0.6 |
Q14. Are you inclined to vote in the 4.11 General Election? (%)
| Total | 75.5 |
| Age 20-29 | 62.1 |
| Age 30-39 | 63.3 |
| Age 40-49 | 78.7 |
| Age 50-59 | 81.4 |
| Age 60 and Above | 91.3 |