Asahi Shimbun September 2010 Regular Public Opinion Poll (10-29)

Asahi Shimbun September 2010 Regular Public Opinion Poll

Dates Conducted
September 4 and 5, 2010

Date Released
September 6, 2010 (Morning edition of the Asahi Shimbun).

Methodology
The poll was conducted by telephone on September 4 and 5 with voters from across Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random.  Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD).  The total number of those polled was 3,554, with 2,149 responses and a 60% response rate.  Decimals were rounded up.  The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered.  The numbers in ( ) are the results from a poll conducted on August 7 and 8, 2010.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Kan cabinet
  • DPJ presidential election

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

Q1.  Do you support or not support the Kan cabinet?

Support 49% (37)
Do not support 30% (43)

 

SQ1.  Why? (Please choose one from the following.  On the left are the 49% that answered “Support,” and on the right are the 30% that answered “Do not support.”)

The prime minister isMr.Kan 29% [14] 4% [1]
The administration is centered around the Democratic Party of Japan 27% [13] 15% [5]
Policies 20% [10] 27% [8]
Ability to get things done 13% [6] 51% [16]

 

Q2.  Which political party do you currently support?

Democratic Party ofJapan 36% (31)
Liberal Democratic Party 17% (19)
New Komeito 3% (2)
JapanCommunist Party 2% (2)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
Your Party 4% (7)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
SunriseParty ofJapan 0% (0)
The New Party ofJapan 0% (0)
New Renaissance Party 0% (0)
The Happiness Realization Party 0% (0)
Other party 0% (0)
Do not support any party 31% (31)
No answer/Do not know 7% (7)

 

Q3.  If the general election were being held today, which party in the proportional-representation district would you vote for?

Democratic Party ofJapan 37%
Liberal Democratic Party 22%
New Komeito 4%
JapanCommunist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 1%
Your Party 10%
The People’s New Party 0%
SunriseParty ofJapan 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0%
New Renaissance Party 0%
The Happiness Realization Party 0%
Other party 0%
No answer/Do not know 23%

 

Q4. The election for DPJ president has begun and Mr. Naoto and Mr. Ozawa have announced their candidacy.  The president of the DPJ will be the next prime minister.  Who do you think is more suited to be prime minister?  Mr. Kan or Mr. Ozawa?

Mr.Kan 65%
Mr. Ozawa 17%

 

Q5.  Comparing Mr. Kan and Mr. Ozawa, in each of their points of view, who do you hold expectations for?  Mr. Kan or Mr. Ozawa?

a) Economic or employment measures

Mr.Kan 44%
Mr. Ozawa 34%

 

b) Relocation of U.S. Futenma Air Station problem

Mr.Kan 37%
Mr. Ozawa 30%

 

c) Ability to execute

Mr.Kan 34%
Mr. Ozawa 49%

 

d) Ability to lead politics

Mr.Kan 50%
Mr. Ozawa 29%

 

e) Revising the reliance on the bureaucracy in politics

Mr.Kan 56%
Mr. Ozawa 23%

 

Q6.  We will ask you about the manifesto the DPJ put forth during last summer’s House of Representatives election.  Mr. Kan ’s position is that if “the implementation of the manifesto becomes difficult he will revise it,” whereas Mr. Ozawa’s position is that he will “implement what was promised.”  Whose position do you support?

Mr.Kan 63%
Mr. Ozawa 24%

 

Q7.  This year in June, Mr. Ozawa resigned as secretary-general of the DPJ due to his political fund scandal.  Can you accept or not accept his candidacy for DPJ president?

Accept 18%
Do not accept 75%

 

Q8.  How do you evaluate Mr. Kan ’s performance so far?  (Please choose one.)

Positively evaluate 2%
Somewhat positively evaluate 45%
Somewhat not positively evaluate 42%
Not positively evaluate 8%

 

Q9.  Are you for or against raising the consumption tax?

For 48% (41)
Against 44% (47)

 

Q10.  In regards to the discussion of raising the consumption tax, Mr. Kan has stated that the consumption tax needs to be “reviewed as part of far-reaching discussions on the social security system,” indicating a proactive stance.  Do you approve or not approve of Mr. Kan ’s stance?

Approve 65%
Do not approve 22%

 

Q11.  On the other hand, Mr. Ozawa has stated that the government must “cut more wasteful spending before raising the consumption tax.”  Do you approve or not approve of Mr. Ozawa’s stance?

Approve 55%
Do not approve 34%

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