Asahi Shimbun July 2010 Public Opinion Poll – Fourth in a Series on the House of Councillors Election (10-25)

Asahi Shimbun July 2010 Public Opinion Poll – Fourth in a Series on the House of Councillors Election

Dates Conducted
July 3 and 4, 2010

Dates Released
July 5, 2010 and July 14, 2010 (Morning edition of the Asahi Shimbun).

Methodology
The poll was conducted by telephone on July 3 and 4 with voters from across Japan, whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random.  Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD).  The total number of those polled was 1,885, with 1,078 responses and a 57% response rate.  Decimals were rounded up.  The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered.  The numbers in ( ) are the results from a poll conducted on June 26 and 27, 2010.  The results of questions that appear frequently are; from the left, results from the first poll on June 12 and 13, the second poll on June 19 and 20, the third poll on June 26 and 27, and the fourth poll on July 3 and 4.

Key Issues

  • House of Councillors election
  • Increase in consumption tax

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

Q1.   Do you support or not support the Kan cabinet?

Support 59% 50% 48% 39%
Do not support 23% 27% 29% 40%

 

SQ1.  Why? (Please choose one from the following.  On the left are the 39% that answered “Support,” and on the right are the 40% that answered “Do not support.”)

The prime minister is Mr. Kan 18% [7] 2% [1]
The administration is centered around the Democratic Party of Japan 34% [13] 14% [6]
Policies 27% [10] 41% [16]
Ability to get things done 16% [6] 39% [16]

 

Q2.  Which political party do you currently support?  Please choose one from the following:

Democratic Party of Japan 40% 32% 37% 30%
Liberal Democratic Party 12% 13% 14% 15%
New Komeito 3% 4% 2% 4%
Japan Communist Party 3% 2% 2% 3%
Social Democratic Party 1% 1% 1% 2%
Your Party 2% 3% 3% 3%
The People’s New Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sunrise Party of Japan 0% 0% 0% 0%
The New Party of Japan 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Renaissance Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
The Happiness Realization Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Do not support any party 30% 30% 29% 30%
No answer/Do not know 9% 15% 12% 13%

Q3.  A general election will be held for the House of Councillors soon.  To what extent are you interested in this election?  Please select one from the following four choices:

Very interested 37% 40% 34% 28%
Somewhat interested 44% 40% 46% 46%
Not very interested 16% 16% 16% 21%
Not at all interested 3% 4% 4% 4%

 

Q4.  If the general election were being held today, which party in the proportional- representation district and/or which party’s candidate would you vote for? Please respond with the name of the party.

Democratic Party of Japan 43% 36% 39% 30%
Liberal Democratic Party 14% 17% 15% 17%
New Komeito 4% 4% 4% 5%
Japan Communist Party 3% 3% 3% 4%
The People’s New Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Renaissance Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Social Democratic Party 1% 2% 2% 2%
Sunrise Party of Japan 0% 0% 1% 1%
Your Party 4% 5% 6% 6%
The Happiness Realization Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other party 0% 1% 1% 0%
No answer/Do not know 31% 32% 29% 35%

Q5.  To what extent do you hold expectations for Prime Minister Kan? Please choose one from the following:

High expectations 17% 13% - -
Somewhat high expectations 51% 47% - -
Somewhat low expectations 25% 32% - -
No expectations 7% 7% - -

 

Q6.  In the upcoming House of Councillors election, do you think it is better for the result to reflect the Democratic Party gaining a majority of parliamentary seats or not gaining a majority?

Better for the DPJ to gain a majority of seats 44% 34% 36% 33%
Better for the DPJ to not gain a majority of seats 44% 53% 50% 53%

 

Q7.  As a result of the House of Councillors general election, which political party would you like to see expand their number of parliamentary seats?

Democratic Party of Japan 40% - - 26%
Liberal Democratic Party 17% - - 20%
New Komeito 4% - - 4%
Japan Communist Party 3% - - 4%
The People’s New Party 0% - - 0%
New Renaissance Party 0% - - 1%
Social Democratic Party 3% - - 3%
Sunrise Party of Japan 0% - - 1%
Your Party 7% - - 10%
The Happiness Realization Party 0% - - 0%
Other party 0% - - 0%
No answer/Do not know 26% - - 31%

 

Q8.  Do you hope an administration centered around the DPJ will continue or not?

Hope administration centered around DPJ will continue 49% 36% 37% 36%
Hope administration will not continue to be centered around DPJ 36% 44% 43% 47%

 

Q9.  As a whole, when comparing the DPJ and LDP side-by-side, which party’s policies do you think are better?

DPJ 43%
LDP 25%

 

Q10.  As a whole, when comparing the DPJ and LDP side-by-side, which party do you think has the ability to put their policies into action?

DPJ 35%
LDP 36%

 

Q11.  Are you for or against raising the consumption tax?

For 49% 46% 46% 39%
Against 44% 45% 44% 48%

 

Q12.  Do you approve or not approve of Prime Minister Kan’s explanation and actions regarding the hike in consumption tax?

Approve 21% (30)
Do not approve 63% (50)

 

Q13.  Under the Kan cabinet, how much progress do you think will be made in efforts to reduce financial waste?

Will greatly progress 1% (2)
Wil somewhat progress 40% (44)
Will somewhat not progress 49% (46)
Will not progress 7% (5)

 

Q14.  Following the House of Councillors election, with which party do you think the DPJ should form a coalition administration?

Liberal Democratic Party 8%
New Komeito 4%
Japan Communist Party 1%
Social Democratic Party 8%
Your Party 15%
The People’s New Party 6%
Sunrise Party of Japan 1%
The New Party of Japan 1%
New Renaissance Party 1%
The Happiness Realization Party 0%
Other party 0%
No answer/Do not know 55%

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