Nikkei Shimbun May 2009 Emergency Telephone Opinion Poll (09-13)

Nikkei Shimbun May 2009 Emergency Telephone Opinion Poll

Dates Conducted
May 16 and 17, 2009

Methodology
Nationwide poll.  See below for age and gender breakdown.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Resignation of Mr. Ozawa as DPJ President and the selection of Mr. Hatoyama as his successor
  • House of Representatives general election

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Nikkei Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

*All numbers are percentages

*Numbers in parentheses are the total number of respondents

Q1.  Do you support or not support the Aso Cabinet? (N=880)

Support 26
Do not support 58
Cannot say/Do not know 16

 

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Cannot say”/“Do not know”] Which of the following is closest to your feelings? (N=144)

Support 28
Do not support 27
Cannot say/Do not know 46

[Total (combined) approval rating (N=880)]

Support 30
Do not support 62
Cannot say/Do not know 8

 

SQ2.  [For those who answered “Support”] What are the reasons you support the cabinet?  Please choose all that apply from the following seven answers: (N=265)

Because it is an LDPcabinet 46
Because it has good policies 13
Because it is internationally minded 23
Because it has good leadership 7
Because it is stable 9
Because of the trustworthy character of its members 16
Because it is politically clean 6
Other 7
Cannot say/Do not know 7

 

SQ3.  [For those who answered “Do not support”] What are the reasons you do not support the cabinet?  Please choose all that apply from the following seven answers: (N=548)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 25
Because its policies are bad 45
Because it is not internationally minded 14
Because of its lack of leadership 44
Because it is not stable 43
Because its members are not trustworthy 28
Because it is not clean politically 7
Other 3
Cannot say/Do not know 4

 

Q2. Which political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=880)

Mr.Aso 29%
Mr.Hatoyama 40%

 

SQ1.  [For those who answered “Do not support any party” or “Cannot say/Do not know”] If you had to name one, which political party do you favor? (N=336)

Liberal Democratic Party 13
Democratic Party ofJapan 29
NewKomeito 1
JapanCommunist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 1
The People’s New Party 0
KaikakuClub (Reform Club) 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 41
Cannot say/Do not know 11

[Support + Preferred Parties (N=880)]

Liberal Democratic Party 33
Democratic Party ofJapan 38
NewKomeito 4
JapanCommunist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 1
The People’s New Party 0
KaikakuClub (Reform Club) 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 16
Cannot say/Do not know 4

 

Q3. Democratic Party of Japan’s Ichiro Ozawa has resigned and has been replaced by Yukio Hatoyama as the new leader of the party.  Do you find Mr. Hatoyama promising or not promising? (N=880)

Promising 44
Not promising 47
Cannot say/Do not know 9

 

SQ1. [For those who answered “Cannot say/Do not know”] Which of the following is closest to your feelings?  (N=75)

Promising 30
Not promising 17
Cannot say/Do not know 53

[Q3+ SQ1 Total (N=880)]

Promising 47
Not promising 49
Cannot say/Do not know 4

SQ2. [For those who answered “Promising”] What is the biggest reason for this?  Please choose one from the following seven answers: (N=412)

Because he is the Democratic Party of Japan’s representative 31
Because he has good policies 20
Because he is internationally minded 6
Because he has good leadership 18
Because he is stable 14
Because he has a trustworthy character 28
Because he is politically clean 21
Other 8
Cannot say/Do not know 6

 

SQ3.  [For those who answered “Not promising”] What is the biggest reason for this?  Please choose one from the following seven answers (N=428)

Because he is the Democratic Party of Japan’s representative 16
Because he has bad policies 17
Because he is not internationally minded 9
Because his lack of leadership 33
Because he is not stable 29
Because he is not trustworthy 23
Because he is not clean politically 5
Other 10
Cannot say/Do not know 7

 

Q4.  Who do you think is suitable to serve as prime minister after the next House of Representatives general election? (N=880)

TaroAso 16
YukioHatoyama 29
Cannot say either 52
Cannot say/Do not know 3

 

Q5.  How do you feel about the resignation of Mr. Ozawa? (N=880)

Was appropriate 15
Should have retired earlier 61
Should have continued as DPJ representative 15
Other 2
Cannot say/Do not know 6

 

Q6.  Mr. Hatoyama has expressed that Mr. Ozawa will continue to play an important role in the DPJ.  What are your thoughts on this? (N=880)

Approve 32
Against 54
Other 3
Cannot say/Do not know 12

 

Q7.  The next House of Representatives election is scheduled to take place by the fall.  When do you think the elections should take place? (N=880)

As soon as possible 59
As late as possible 16
No interest 20
Other 2
Cannot say/Do not know 4

 

Q8.  During the next election for the House of Representatives, which party will you vote for in your proportional-representation district? (N=880)

Liberal Democratic Party 28
Democratic Party ofJapan 41
Komeito 5
JapanCommunist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 0
The Reform Club 0
The New Party ofJapan 0
Other 1
Undecided 12
Will abstain 1
Cannot say/Do not know 6

 

Q9.  What is the most desirable form for the next administration?  (N=880)

Administration centered on the LDP 14
Administration centered on the DPJ 29
A coalition that includes the LDP and DPJ 42
Other 4
Cannot say/Do not know 10

 

Polling Information

F1. Gender (Determined by the polltaker) (N=880)

Male 47
Female 53
Unknown 0

 

F2. How old are you? (N=880)

20s 7
30s 18
40s 18
50s 20
60s 22
70 years old or older 14
Refused to answer 2

Average Age    52.5 years

 

F3.  What is your occupation? (N=880)

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 4
Employee (company or governmental employee, teacher, etc.) 47
Self-owned business, self-employed (including a homemaker) 13
Full-time housewife (without job only) 17
Student 2
Unemployed 16
Refused to answer 2

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