Nikkei Shimbun October 2008 Telephone Opinion Poll (08-24)

Nikkei Shimbun October 2008 Telephone Opinion Poll

Dates Conducted
October 24 – 26, 2008

Methodology
Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Economy
  • General elections for the House of Representatives

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Nikkei Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

*All numbers are percentages
*Number in parentheses are the number of respondents

Q1.  Do you support or not support the Aso Cabinet? (N=947)

Support 38
Do not support 36
No answer/Do not know 26

 

SQ1.  For those who answered “no answer” and “do not know,” which out of the following most closely resembles your feelings? (N=243)

Support 38
Do not support 26
No answer/Do not know 36

[Support ratio total (N=947)]

Support 48
Do not support 43
No answer/Do not know 9

 

SQ2.  For those who answered “support,” what are the reasons for your support?  Please choose as many as applies from the following seven answers. (N=451)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 33
Good policies 13
Good sense of international affairs 22
Leadership 29
Stability 10
Trustworthy character of members 23
Politically clean 8
Other 4
No answer/Do not know 6

 

SQ3.  For those who answered “do not support,” what are the reasons for not supporting?  Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=408)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 40
Bad policies 33
Bad sense of international affairs 6
Lack of leadership 19
Instability 26
Members not trustworthy 29
Politically not clean 8
Other 5
No answer/Do not know 4

 

Q2.  Which political party do you currently support?  Please choose only one. (N=947)

Liberal Democratic Party 34
Democratic Party of Japan 22
Komeito 3
Japan Communist Party 3
Social Democratic Party 1
The People’s New Party 0
Kaikaku Club (Reform Club) 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 29
No answer/Do not know 8

 

SQ1.  For those who answered “do not support any party” or “no answer/do not know,” if you are to name one, which political party do you favor? (N=344)

Liberal Democratic Party 20
Democratic Party of Japan 23
Komeito 1
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 0
Kaikaku Club (Reform Club) 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 32
No answer/Do not know 18

[Support + Preferable Parties (N=947)]

Liberal Democratic Party 41
Democratic Party of Japan 31
Komeito 3
Japan Communist Party 5
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 0
The Reform Club 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other political party 0
Do not favor any political party 11
No answer/Do not know 6

 

Q3.  Do you approve or not of the performance of the Aso Cabinet? (N=947)

Approve 34
Do not approve 39
Cannot say either 14
No answer/Do not know 13

 

SQ1. For those who answered “approve,” what is the biggest reason for your approval?  Please choose one from the following answers: (N=319)

Handling of economy 38
Handling of financial crisis 11
Handling of pension/medical care issues 16
Handling of foreign policy/national security issues 8
Handling of “politics and money” issues 7
Handling of food safety issues 8
Other 3
No answer/Do not know 9

 

SQ2.  For those who answered “do not approve,” what is the biggest reason for your lack of approval?  Please choose one from the following answers: (N=367)

Handling of economic measures 20
Handling of financial crisis 10
Handling of pension/medical care issues 32
Handling of foreign policy/national security issues 5
Handling of “politics and money” issues 19
Handling of food safety issues 6
Other 4
No answer/Do not know 4

 

Q4.  Which issue do you think Prime Minister Aso should prioritize: economic measures or the dissolution of the House of Representatives/general election? (N=947)

Should prioritize economic measures 63
Should prioritize the dissolution of the House of Representatives/general election 29
No answer/Do not know 8

 

Q5.  The government and ruling parties are planning to enact a one-time, fixed-amount tax reduction on income taxes etc.  Do you approve or not of this measure?

Approve 54
Do not approve 32
No answer/Do not know 14

 

Q6.  When do you think the dissolution of the House of Representatives and the next general election should be held? (N=947)

It should be dissolved as soon as possible 30
It should be dissolved at the beginning of next year’s regular session of the Diet 10
It should be dissolved next spring, once the budget is complete 14
There is no need to speed up the dissolution of the House of Representatives 36
Other 1
No answer/Do not know 9

 

Q7.  Which policy areas do you think should receive the most emphasis in the next House of Representatives election? (N=947)

Pensions and healthcare 49
Economic measures 55
Fiscal reconstruction 30
Foreign policy and national security 13
Politics and money 19
Food safety 27
Education reform 22
Decentralization 10
Other 1
No answer/Do not know 8

 

Q8.  During the next election for the House of Representatives, which party will you vote for in your proportional-representation district? (N=947)

Liberal Democratic Party 36
Democratic Party of Japan 31
Komeito 4
Japan Communist Party 4
Social Democratic Party 2
The People’s New Party 1
The Reform Club 0
The New Party of Japan 0
Other 1
Undecided 12
Will abstain 1
No answer/Do not know 8

 

Q9.  Who do you think is suitable to serve as the next prime minister after the next House of Representatives election? (N=947)

Taro Aso 36
Ichiro Ozawa 16
Neither 42
No answer/Do not know 6

 

Q10.  What is the most desirable form for the next administration? (N=947)

Administration centered on the LDP 17
Administration centered on the DPJ 20
LDP-DPJ coalition 47
Other 3
No answer/Do not know 13

 

Q11.  Uncertainty over the economy is growing.  How are you careful these days when it comes to spending your money?

Only purchase necessary items 66
Purchase items that are cheaper than before 28
Refrain from renewing household appliances or cars 21
Refrain from leisure activities and hobbies 15
Actions not affected 13
No answer/Do not know 7

 

Polling Information
F1.  Gender (Determined by the polltaker) (N=947)

Male 46
Female 54
Unknown 0

 

F2.  How old are you? (N=947)

In my 20s 6
In my 30s 16
In my 40s 18
In my 50s 20
In my 60s 21
70 years old or older 15
Refused to answer 4

Average Age    53.2

 

F3.  What is your occupation? (N=947)

Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 4
Employee (company or governmental employee, teacher, etc.) 45
Self-owned business, self-employed (including a homemaker) 14
Full-time housewife (without job only) 19
Student 2
Unemployed 14
Refused to answer 4

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