Asahi Shimbun October 2008 Special Opinion Poll (First in a Series Before the House of Representatives Election) (08-19)

Asahi Shimbun October 2008 Special Opinion Poll (First in a Series Before the House of Representatives Election)

Dates Conducted
October 4 and 5, 2008

Dates Released
October 6 and 7, 2008 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun on both days)

Methodology
The poll was conducted by telephone on October 4 and 5 with voters from across Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random. Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD). The total number of those polled was 1,036, with a 57% response rate. Decimals were rounded up. The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered.  The numbers in (  ) are the results from a poll conducted on September 24 and 25, 2008.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Upcoming general election for the House of Representatives
  • Prime Minister Aso vs. DPJ President Ozawa
  • Resignation of Mr. Nariaki Nakayama

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

Q1. The following question concerns current politics. Do you support the Aso Cabinet, or not?

Support 41% (48)
Do not support 42% (36)

 

SQ1. Why? Please select one of the following: (The results in the left column are from the 41% who answered “support,” and the results in the right column are from the 42% who answered “do not support.”)

Mr. Aso is the prime minister 32% [13] 5% [2]
The cabinet is primarily composed of LDP members 26% [11] 43% [18]
Policies of the cabinet 24% [10] 27% [11]
The ministers in the cabinet 9% [4] 21% [9]

Q2. Which political party do you currently support?

Liberal Democratic Party 32% (34)
Democratic Party of Japan 23% (23)
Komeito 4% (3)
Japan Communist Party 2% (2)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
Reform Club* 0% —
The New Party of Japan 0% (0)
Other 0% (0)
Do not support any party 31% (32)

* The Reform Club is a newly formed party

Q3. A general election will be held for the House of Representatives soon. To what extent are you interested in this election? Please select one of the following:

Very interested 35%
Somewhat interested 44%
Not very interested 17%
Not at all interested 3%

Q4. If the general election were being held today, which party would you vote for in your proportional-representation district? Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 33% (36)
Democratic Party of Japan 34% (32)
Komeito 4% (4)
Japan Communist Party 3% (4)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
Reform Club 0% —
The New Party of Japan 0% (0)
Other 1% (1)

 

Q5.  Next, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your SMALL ELECTORAL DISTRICT? Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 31%
Democratic Party of Japan 30%
Komeito 3%
Japan Communist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 1%
The People’s New Party 0%
Reform Club 0%
The New Party of Japan 0%
Other 0%
Independent candidate 2%

Q6. Do you think that it would be best for the administration to continue to be centered on the LDP? Or do you think that there should be a change, to an administration centered on the Democratic Party of Japan?

Administration centered on the LDP 34% (39)
Administration centered on the DPJ 40% (40)

Q7. Comparing Prime Minister Aso and JDP President Ozawa, which do you think is more suited to be prime minister?

Mr. Aso 50% (54)
Mr. Ozawa 22% (26)

Q8. Do you think that occasional changes of administration, in which the ruling and opposition parties switch positions, would be good for Japanese politics, or not?

Agree 73% (73)
Disagree 19% (21)

Q9. The following four questions are related to Prime Minister Aso and DPJ President Ozawa. First, which of the two do you think has more power to change politics?

Mr. Aso 43%
Mr. Ozawa 35%

Q10. Next, as a politician, which of the two provides more leadership?

Mr. Aso 42%
Mr. Ozawa 35%

 

Q11. Which of the two better explains policy matters?

Mr. Aso 43%
Mr. Ozawa 31%

 

Q12. Finally, which of the two is closer to the people’s sensibility?

Mr. Aso 32%
Mr. Ozawa 43%

 

Q13. The next topic concerns the resignation of Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transportation Nariaki Nakayama. Facing criticism over a series of remarks, Mr. Nakayama quit five days after assuming office. Do you think that Prime Minister Aso bears a high degree of responsibility for appointing Mr. Nakayama, or not such a high degree of responsibility?

High degree of responsibility 44%
Not such a high degree 48%

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