September 2006 Nikkei Emergency Telephone Opinion Poll

September 2006 Nikkei Emergency Telephone Opinion Poll

Dates Conducted

September 26 – 27, 2006

Methodology

Nationwide poll. See below for age and gender breakdown.

Key Issues

  • Support for new Abe Cabinet
  • Financial sanctions on North Korea
  • Support for possible Yasukuni Shrine visit

Background

This poll was conducted as newly-elected Prime Minister Abe Shinzo stepped into power, succeeding former Prime Minister Koizumi Junichiro. The transition of power raised numerous questions about how Prime Minister Abe would form his Cabinet and what key positions in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party would be filled by particular party members.

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Nikkei Telephone poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey

Q1. Do you support or not support the new Abe Cabinet? (N=720)

Support 71%
Not support 17%
Can’t say/don’t know 12%

 

Q1SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q1, what is the reason for your support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=510)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 19%
Good policies 9%
Good sense of international affairs 14%
Leadership 13%
Stability 14%
Can trust members’ personalities 19%
Clean 2%
Others 10%
Can’t say/don’t know 5%

 

Q1SQ2. For those who answered “don’t support” in Q1, what is the reason for your non-support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=121)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 34%
Bad policies 28%
Bad sense of international affairs 17%
Lack of leadership 27%
Instability 23%
Cannot trust members’ personalities 19%
Not clean 2%
Others 10%
Can’t say/don’t know 5%

 

Q2. What political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=720)

Liberal Democratic Party 48%
Democratic Party ofJapan 14%
Komeito 2%
JapanCommunist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 1%
The People’s New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 0%
Do not support any party 27%
Can’t say/don’t know 5%

 

Q2SQ. For those who answered “don’t support any party” or “can’t say/don’t know” in Q2, if you have to choose one party, which party do you feel is most preferable? Please choose only one. (N=233)

Liberal Democratic Party 19%
Democratic Party ofJapan 14%
Komeito 0%
JapanCommunist Party 6%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 1%
The People’s New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 0%
Do not support any party 41%
Can’t say/don’t know 18%

[Support + preferable parties (N=720)]

Liberal Democratic Party 55%
Democratic Party ofJapan 18%
Komeito 2%
JapanCommunist Party 4%
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 2%
The People’s New Party 0%
The New PartyJapan 0%
Others 0%
Do not support any party 13%
Can’t say/don’t know 6%

 

Q3. What policy issues do you want the Abe Cabinet to prioritize? Please choose as many as apply from the following 14 answers. (N=720)

Economy 26%
Fiscal Reform 21%
Tax Reform 19%
Administrative reform/deregulation 7%
Diplomacy/national security issues 20%
Social security issues including pension and welfare 58%
Employment 21%
Education 29%
Reforms in political system 9%
So called “Sanmiittai” or triple reform of central and local government taxing systems 13%
Local economy revitalization 15%
Constitutional issues 8%
Environmental issues 16%
Safety/crime control 21%
Others 3%
Can’t say/don’t know 12%

 

Q4. Do you appreciate the lineup for the Abe Cabinet and LDP leadership? (N=720)

Appreciate 44%
Do not appreciate 22%
Neither 12%
Can’t say/don’t know 23%

 

Q4SQ1. For those who answered “appreciate” in Q4, what is the prime reason for it? Please choose only one of the following. (N=316)

Chosen without faction politics 17%
Chosenbased on capability/merit system 27%
More young members 41%
More female members 7%
Others 2%
Can’t say/don’t know 6%

 

Q4SQ2. For those who answered “do not appreciate” in Q4, what is the primary reason for your answer? Please choose only one of the following. (N=156)

Chosenbased on faction politics 38%
Chosen without capability/merit system 22
Few young members 20%
Few female members 8%
Others 7%
Can’t say/don’t know 4%

 

Q5. What do you think of Prime Minister Abe’s possible visit to the Yasukuni Shrine? (N=720)

Support 40%
Oppose 41%
Can’t say/don’t know 19%

 

Q6. The Japanese government implemented financial sanctions on North Korea. What do you think about it? (N=720)

Sanctions are too severe 4%
Sanctions are appropriate 51%
Sanctions should be further strengthened 28%
Can’t say/don’t know 17%

 

F1. Gender (judged by interviewers, N=720)

Male 41%
Female 59%
Unknown 0%

 

F2. Age (N=720, Average: 54.7)

20s 6%
30s 16%
40s 15%
50s 20%
60s 20%
Over 70 21%
Refuse to answer 2%

 

F3. What is your occupation? Please choose one from the following. (N=720)

Agriculture, forestry, fishery 4%
Employed (corporate employee, bureaucrat, teacher, etc.) 37%
Self-employed (business, engineer), freelance (including family business) 14%
Housewife (without any outside job) 220%
Student 1%
Unemployed 20%
Refuse to answer 2%

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