August 2005 Nikkei Special Telephone Opinion Poll on “Postal Dissolution”

August 2005 Nikkei Special Telephone Opinion Poll on “Postal Dissolution”

Dates Conducted

August 9 and 10, 2005

Date Released

August 11, 2005 (Nikkei Shimbun)

Methodology

The Nikkei Shimbun regularly conducts public opinion polls on attitudes toward the government and domestic policy issues. The telephone poll surveyed 1,093 males and females over the age of 20 throughout Japan.

Key Issues

  • Support for Prime Minister Koizumi
  • Support for postal privatization reform

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Nikkei Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use.

 

Survey
Q1. Do you support the Koizumi cabinet or not? (N=1093)

Support 47%
Don’t support 37%
Can’t say/don’t know 16%

Q1SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q1, what is the reason for your support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=518)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 18%
Good policies 22%
Good sense in international affairs 13%
Leadership 32%
Stability 9%
Can trust personality 29%
Clean 17%
Others 7%
Can’t say/don’t know 3%

Q1SQ2. For those who answered “don’t support” in Q1, what is the reason for your non-support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=404)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 20%
Bad policies 40%
Bad sense in international affairs 30%
Lack of leadership 22%
Instability 21%
Cannot trust personality 30%
Not clean 6%
Others 5%
Can’t say/don’t know 3%

Q2. What political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=1093)

Liberal Democratic Party 37%
Democratic Party of Japan 14%
New Komeito 3%
Japanese Communist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 1%
Others 0%
Don’t support any party 35%
Can’t say/don’t know 7%

Q2SQ. For those who answered “don’t support any party” or “can’t say/don’t know” in Q2, if you have to choose one party, which party do you feel is most preferable? Please choose only one. (N=457)

Liberal Democratic Party 18%
Democratic Party of Japan 13%
New Komeito 1%
Japanese Communist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 2%
Others 1%
Don’t support any party 49%
Can’t say/don’t know 14%

[Support + preferable parties (N=1093)]

Liberal Democratic Party 45%
Democratic Party of Japan 20%
New Komeito 3%
Japanese Communist Party 4%
Social Democratic Party 2%
Others 0%
Don’t support any party 20%
Can’t say/don’t know 6%

Q3. The Postal Privatization Bill was voted down after a neck-to-neck battle. Which do you support, Prime Minister Koizumi who persisted on enactment at this Diet session, or those opposition forces within the LDP who worked hard to prevent the enactment? Please choose one of the following two answers. (N=1093)

Prime Minister Koizumi 47%
Opposition forces within the LDP 35%
Can’t say/don’t know 17%

Q4. Prime Minister Koizumi dissolved the Lower House and called for general elections right after the Postal Privatization Bill was voted down. What do you think about that? Please choose one of the following two answers. (N=1093)

Support the dissolution 53%
Oppose to the dissolution 33%
Can’t say/don’t know 14%

Q5. Which political party are you going to vote for in the upcoming Lower House elections? Please choose only one. (N=1093)

Liberal Democratic Party 37%
Democratic Party of Japan 18%
New Komeito 3%
Japanese Communist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 1%
Others 0%
Can’t say/don’t know 38%

 

Q6. What framework of administration do you think would be appropriate as a post election administration? Please choose one from the following four answers. (N=1093)

Continuation of LDP-Komeito coalition administration 31%
LDP single-party administration 17%
DPJ single-party administration 8%
Non-LDP coalition administration centered around DPJ 24%
Others 2%
Can’t say/don’t know 19%

 

Q7. Who do you think is appropriate as the next prime minister after the Lower House elections? Please choose one of the following. (N=1093)

Prime Minister Koizumi 34%
Taro Aso 2%
Shinzo Abe 17%
Masahiko Komura 1%
Sadakazu Tanigaki 1%
Takeo Hiranuma 1%
Yasuo Fukuda 3%
Katsuya Okada 7%
Ichiro Ozawa 5%
Naoto Kan 5%
Others 1%
Can’t say/don’t know 24%

Q8. Prime Minister Koizumi has shown his philosophy that he visits the Yasukuni Shrine every year. What do you think about that? Please select one from the following two answers. (N=1093)

Support 46%
Oppose 38%
Can’t say/don’t know 16%

Q9. The Japanese government has been campaigning for gaining a permanent membership at the United Nations Security Council. What do you think about that? Please choose one of the following two answers. (N=1093)

Support 58%
Oppose 22%
Can’t say/don’t know 21%

F1. Gender (judged by interviewers, N=1093)

Male 40%
Female 60%
Unknown 0%

 

F2. Age (N=1093)

20s 7%
30s 15%
40s 16%
50s 25%
60s 18%
Over 70 17%
Refuse to answer 2%

 

F3. What is your occupation? Please choose one from the following. (N=1093)

Agriculture, forestry, fishery 3%
Employed (corporate employee, bureaucrat, teacher, etc.) 40%
Self-employed (business, engineer), freelance (including family business) 14%
House wife (without any outside job) 23%
Student 1%
Unemployed 18%
Refuse to answer 2%

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