Japan-U.S. Joint Opinion Poll December 2009 (09-30)

Dates Conducted

Japanese Poll: November 20, 2009 by Yomiuri Shimbun, U.S. Poll: November 14 – 20, 2009 by Gallup, Inc.

Methodology

Japanese Poll:

Nationwide poll.  RDD (random digit dialing) with follow-up telephone interview.
Numbers selected for dialing: 4900
Households confirmed with an eligible voter: 1764
Random selection of one eligible voter per household.
Valid responses: 1024 (Response rate of households with eligible voters = 58%)

U.S. Poll:

Nationwide two-stage stratified random sampling of eligible voters 18 years of age and older.  RDD telephone interview.  Responses: 1044 (to make representative of all eligible U.S.  voters, tabulation is weighted).

Survey

*All numbers are percentages

* Words in parentheses were conducted in the U.S. only

Q1.  I am going to read some various institutions in Japanese (American) society.  Would you say that you “do” or “do not” have a lot of confidence in:

Japan The U.S.
The Prime Minister (The President of the U.S.) 48 56
The Japanese Diet (The U.S.Congress) 34 37
Police department and public prosecutors offices 54 74
The courts 66 60
The Self-Defense Forces (military) 58 89
Temples, shrines, and churches (Churches) 46 76
Government agencies (federal government agencies) 25 42
Local governments 46 57
Schools 53 69
Hospitals 68 80
Newspapers 66 50
TV stations 46 45
Major corporations 30 31
Labor unions 32 36
Other 2 10
None/No other 5 0
Do not know/No answer 0

 

Q2.  How would you rate relations between the U.S. and Japan at present?

Japan The U.S.
Very good 2 8
Good 46 43
Just fair 21 34
Poor 24 6
Very poor 2 2
Do not know/No answer 4 6

 

Q3. Among the following issues connected with the U.S.-Japan relationship, which issue do you think is going the worst?

Japan The U.S.
Mutual trust between countries’ leaders 10 9
U.S.and Japan’s handling of trade and economic issues 18 27
Realignment of U.S.forces in Japan 31 5
U.S.and Japan’s handling of North Korea issues 13 19
Cooperation in fighting terrorism 8 12
U.S.and Japan’s handling of global warming 17 14
Other 0 0
None 1 2
Do not know/No answer 3 12

 

Q4. How much do you trust the U.S. ( Japan )?

Japan The U.S.
Very much 7 14
Some 42 52
Not very much 34 20
Not at all 7 11
Do not know/No answer 11 3

 

Q5.  In September 2009, Democratic Party of Japan President Hatoyama was elected prime minister.  Under the new Hatoyama administration, do you think that the U.S.-Japanese relationship will improve, worsen, or stay the same?

Japan The U.S.
Improve 1 3
Somewhat improve 16 27
Stay the same 63 42
Get somewhat worse 15 8
Worsen 1 4
Do not know/No answer 4 14

 

Q6.  Which countries or regions do you think will become a military threat to Japan (the U.S.)?

Japan The U.S.
The U.S.(only for Japan) 23
Japan(only for the U.S.) 20
Korea 16 25
China 64 56
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) 12 28
European Union (EU) 10 14
Russia 40 42
Taiwan 6 12
North Korea 81 75
India 14 12
Middle East 33 81
Central and South Pacific nations, such as Australia and New Zealand 5 5
Africa 4 15
Latin America 8 20
Other 0 19
None/No other 6 3
Do not know/No answer 3 1

 

Q7.  To what extent do you think the U.S.-Japan Security Agreement contributes to the security of the Asian-Pacific region?

Japan The U.S.
Contributes greatly 25 13
Contributes somewhat 50 57
Does not contribute very much 12 13
Does not contribute at all 2 5
Do not know/No answer 12 11

 

Q8.  The administration of Prime Minister Hatoyama has pledged to reopen negotiations over the plan to relocate the U.S. Marine Corps’ helicopter base in Okinawa .  Do you think the plan should be changed significantly, changed only slightly, or not changed?

Japan The U.S.
Should be changed significantly 33 12
Should be changed only slightly 35 28
Should not be changed at all 22 39
Do not know/No answer 10 20

 

Q9.  U.S. President Barack Obama pledges to work for the realization of a world without nuclear arms.  Do you agree or disagree with this policy?

Japan The U.S.
Agree 92 46
Somewhat agree 4 17
Somewhat disagree 1 7
Disagree 2 28
Do not know/No answer 1 2

 

Q10.  President Obama won the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize.  Do you think President Obama deserves or does not deserve the prize?

Japan The U.S.
Deserves the prize 47 35
Does not deserve the prize 44 62
Do not know/No answer 10 3

 

Q11.  The current law allowing Japan to provide fuel to ships of the allied forces in the Indian Ocean expires in January 2010.  The Hatoyama administration plans to terminate the activity at that time.  Do you agree or disagree with terminating the provision of fuel after January?

Japan The U.S.
Agree 56 20
Disagree 32 71
Do not know/No answer 12 9

 

[For those that answered “Agree” to the previous question]   SQ1.  In place of the refueling mission, the Hatoyama administration is proposing to support reconstruction in Afghanistan .  Do you agree, agree only if the security conditions in Afghanistan permit, or disagree with this plan?

Japan The U.S.
Agree 32 26
Agree only if the security conditions in Afghanistan permit 56 34
Disagree 9 39
Other 0
Do not know/No answer 4 1

 

Q12.  Regarding North Korea , which issues should the U.S. and Japanese governments, working in cooperation, give priority to resolving?  Please choose as many as apply:

Japan The U.S.
Getting North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons program 96 92
Getting North Korea to end its missile program and its missile launch 94 89
Resolving the cases involving the abduction of Japanese citizens by North Korea 93 76
Normalizing diplomatic relations between Japan and North Korea(Japan only) 51
Normalizing diplomatic relations between the U.S.and North Korea(U.S.only) 74
Providing economic aid to North Korea 28 30
Changing North Korea’s political and economic systems 57 63
Other 0 5
None/No other 0 3
Do not know/No answer 1

 

Q13. The six-nation talks concerning the North Korean nuclear problem are an attempt to get North Korea to stop its nuclear weapons program.  Do you think that North Korea will abandon its nuclear weapons program?

Japan The U.S.
Think so 11 2
Somewhat think so 9 8
Don’t really think so 16 22
Don’t think so 55 65
Do not know/No answer 9 3

 

Q14.  How would you rate relations between Japan (the U.S. ) and China at present?

Japan The U.S.
Very good 1 3
Good 42 31
Just fair 21 50
Poor 29 11
Very poor 2 2
Do not know/ No answer 5 2

 

Q15.  How much do you trust China ?

Japan The U.S.
Very much 2 3
Some 18 39
Not very much 47 30
Not at all 26 26
Do not know/No answer 7 2

 

Q16.  Which country, the U.S. ( Japan ) or China , do you feel will be more important to Japan (the U.S. ) in the future for “political” matters?

Japan The U.S.
The U.S.(Japan only) 52
Japan(the U.S.only) 36
China 36 57
Both equally 6 1
Do not know/ No answer 6 6

 

Q17.  Which country, the U.S. ( Japan ) or China , do you feel will be more important to Japan (the U.S. ) in the future for “economic” matters?

Japan The U.S.
The U.S.(Japan only) 18
Japan(the U.S.only) 25
China 73 69
Both equally 3 1
Do not know/ No answer 6 6

 

Q18.  Prime Minister Hatoyama is proposing the creation of an “East Asian community,” with Japan , China , and South Korea as its core members, to promote closer cooperation in such fields as trade and the economy.  Would you say this idea deserves high praise, or no praise?

Japan The U.S.
High praise 30 12
Some praise 46 58
Not very much praise 10 15
No praise 5 11
Do not know/No answer 9 4

 

Q19.  Japan pledges to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which cause global warming, by 25 percent.  Japan ’s numerical target is relatively high.  Would you say Japan ’s numerical target deserves high praise, or no praise?

Japan The U.S.
High praise 40 25
Some praise 36 47
Not very much praise 13 12
No praise 8 13
Do not know/No answer 3 4

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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