August Asahi Shimbun Regular Opinion Poll

Key Issues
  • Support for Prime Minister Koizumi
  • Success of Koizumi’s reforms
  • Expectations of main opposition party
Dates Conducted

August 26 and 27, 2006

Date Released

August 29, 2006 (Asahi Shimbun)

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on August 26 and 27, 2006, of voters from across Japan who were selected by the three-stage random selection method (the “Asahi RDD” method). The number of people who answered all the questions in full is 1964; the ratio of answers is 58%.

Background

This poll focuses on Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and his legacy, as the final months of his tenure draw to a close. Of concern is whether Koizumi’s reform measures were successful, and whether they should be carried on by his successor. Japanese are also considering how Koizumi changed the nature of politics in Japan, and whether there are expectations of the main opposition party leader, Ichiro Ozawa.

Survey

Q1. Do you support or not support the Koizumi Cabinet?

Support 47% (44)
Not support 36% (40)

Figures in parentheses are results from emergency polls conducted on August 21 and 22.

 

Q1a. What is the reason for your response above? Choose one from the following:

Out of 47% who support Out of 36% who do not support
The prime minister is Koizumi 23% (11) 8% (3)
The prime minister is from LDP 15% (7) 8% (3)
Policy reasons 35% (16) 60% (21)
The government is a coalition 9% (4) 10% (3)
For no particular reason 14% (7) 10% (4)

Figures in parentheses are the percentage of total responses.

 

Q2. Which political parties do you support?

Liberal Democratic Party 38% (39)
Democratic Party ofJapan 13% (14)
Komeito 3% (2)
JapanCommunist Party 3% (2)
Social Democratic Party ofJapan 2% (2)
The People's New Party 0% (0)
The New PartyJapan 0% (0)
The Free (Liberal) Coalition 0% (0)
Do not support any party 37% (34)
No answer, Do not know 4% (7)

Figures in parentheses are results from emergency polls conducted on August 21 and 22.

 

Q3. How do you evaluate Prime Minister Koizumi’s achievements as a whole? Choose one from the following:

Evaluate very positively 12%
Evaluate somewhat positively 56%
Do not evaluate so positively 23%
Do not evaluate positively at all 7%

 

Q3a. Among Prime Minister Koizumi’s policies, what do you evaluate most positively? Choose one from the following:

Economic policy 13%
Administrative reform 41%
Pension/welfare policies 9%
Foreign/security policies 14%

 

Q3b. Among Prime Minister Koizumi’s policies, what do you evaluate least positively? Choose one from the following:

Economic policy 12%
Administrative reform 5%
Pension/welfare policies 47%
Foreign/security policies 27%

 

Q4. Under Prime Minister Koizumi’s watch, do you think that the politics has improved or worsened as a whole?

Improved 45%
Worsened 27%

 

Q4a. (To the 45% that answered “improved”) What makes you think so? Choose one from the following:

Politics became easier to understand 34% (15)
Prime minister's leadership became stronger 42% (19)
Things come to move quicker in politics 19% (9)

Figures in parentheses are the percentage of total responses.

 

Q4b. (To the 27% who answered “worsened”) What makes you think so? Choose one from the following:

The way to proceed in the politics has become more pushy 33% (9)
Only certain issues get attention 29% (8)
Politics is now based more on populism 31% (9)

Figures in parentheses are the percentage of total responses.

 

Q5. Do you think Prime Minister Koizumi has changed the LDP in the last five and a half years, or do you not think so?

Changed 65%
Do not think so 27%

 

Q6. Mr. Koizumi said the reform would come with pains. How much did you feel the pain of the reform? Choose one from the following:

Felt it very much 19%
Felt it somewhat 46%
Did not feel it too much 28%
Did not feel it at all 5%

 

Q7. Do you want the next prime minister to continue the reform as Mr. Koizumi has? Do you agree with the direction of the reform but think its approach should be revised? Or do you want the direction of the reform itself to be changed?

Want the reform to continue as is 17% (17)
Agree with the direction of the reform, but want the approach to be revised 55% (54)
Want the direction of the reform itself to be changed 22% (23)

Figures in parentheses are the results from the polls conducted on June 24 and 25, 2006.

 

Q8. There is a view that the discrepancy in income and other elements is increasing in Japan recently. As you feel it everyday, do you feel that the discrepancy is widening, or do you not think so?

Widening 73% (71)
Do not think so 19% (20)

Figures in parentheses are the results from the polls conducted on February 18 and 19, 2006.

 

Q8a. (To the 73% that answered “widening”) Do you think the widening of economic discrepancy has to do with Prime Minister Koizumi’s policies, or do you think it has nothing to do with it?

Think so 62% <46> (49% <35>)
Do not think so 30% <22> (39% <28>)

Figures in parentheses are the responses to this question by the 71% who answered “expanded” in the polls conducted on February 18 and 19, 2006. Figures in < >are the percentage of the total responses.

 

Q9. What type of a politician is Mr. Koizumi? Choose one from the following:

Someone that builds something new 30%
Someone that destroys the old 59%

 

Q10. What do you think about the tenure of Prime Minister Koizumi? Do you think it was too long? Do you think it was about right? Or do you wish it would continue longer?

Was just right 48%
Too long 31%
Wish it would continue longer 18%

 

Q11. Do you expect much from Ozawa Ichiro, President of the Democratic Party of Japan?

Have expectation 37% (43)
Do not expect much 53% (49)

Figures in parentheses are the results from the polls conducted on July 22 and 23, 2006.

 

Q12. Inviting the 2016 Olympics to Japan has been explored, and Tokyo and Fukuoka City are the candidates. Do you have an interest in this issue, or do you not?

Have interest 51%
Do not have interests 46%

 

Q13. Do you want the 2016 Olympics to be held in Japan, or do you not think so?

Want it to be held inJapan 57%
Do not think so 30%

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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