August 2005 Nikkei Special Telephone Opinion Poll on “Manifesto”

Key Issues
  • Support for Prime Minister Koizumi
  • Policy platform set for the upcoming Lower House elections
Dates Conducted

August 20 – 22, 2005

Date Released

August 23, 2005 (Nikkei Shimbun)

Methodology

The Nikkei Shimbun regularly conducts public opinion polls on attitudes toward the government and domestic policy issues. The telephone poll surveyed 988 males and females over the age of 20 throughout Japan.

 

Survey

Q1. Do you support the Koizumi cabinet or not? (N=988)

Support 49%
Don’t support 39%
Can’t say/don’t know 12%

Q1SQ1. For those who answered “support” in Q1, what is the reason for your support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=488)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 17%
Good policies 23%
Good sense in international affairs 14%
Leadership 45%
Stability 13%
Can trust personality 20%
Clean 13%
Others 7%
Can’t say/don’t know 4%

 

Q1SQ2. For those who answered “don’t support” in Q1, what is the reason for your non-support? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=381)

Because it is an LDP cabinet 17%
Bad policies 40%
Bad sense in international affairs 17%
Lack of leadership 15%
Instability 19%
Cannot trust personality 32%
Not clean 6%
Others 6%
Can’t say/don’t know 5%

 

Q2. Which political party do you currently support? Please choose only one. (N=988)

Liberal Democratic Party 38%
Democratic Party of Japan 13%
New Komeito 3%
Japanese Communist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party 2%
The People’s New Party 1%
Others 0%
Don’t support any party 35%
Can’t say/don’t know 5%

 

Q2SQ. For those who answered “don’t support any party” or “can’t say/don’t know” in Q2, if you have to choose one party, which party do you feel is most preferable? Please choose only one. (N=399)

Liberal Democratic Party 18%
Democratic Party of Japan 15%
New Komeito 2%
Japanese Communist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party 3%
The People’s New Party 1%
Others 1%
Don’t support any party 43%
Can’t say/don’t know 14%

[Support + preferable parties (N=988)]

Liberal Democratic Party 46%
Democratic Party of Japan 19%
New Komeito 4%
Japanese Communist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 3%
The People’s New Party 1%
Others 1%
Don’t support any party 17%
Can’t say/don’t know 6%

 

Q3. What policy issues are important for you in the upcoming elections? Please choose as many as apply from the following fifteen answers. (N=988)

Economy 29%
Fiscal reform 23%
Tax reform 26%
Administrative reform/deregulation 10%
Diplomacy/national security issues 16%
Social security issues including pension and welfare 57%
Employment 19%
Education 19%
Reforms in political systems 15%
Postal privatization 29%
So called “Sanmiittai” or triple reform of central and local governments taxing systems 15%
Local economy revitalization 14%
Constitutional issues 9%
Environmental issues 18%
Safety/crime control 15%
Others 1%
Can’t say/don’t know 11%

Q4. In the upcoming Lower House elections, which of the following four answers do you weigh the most for voting? Please choose only one. (N=988)

Candidates’ personalities 19%
Candidates’ policies 39%
Attractiveness of party heads 9%
Party platforms (“manifesto”) 20%
Can’t say/don’t know 13%

 

Q5. Which political party are you going to vote for in the upcoming Lower House elections? Please choose only one. (N=988)

Liberal Democratic Party 37%
Democratic Party of Japan 16%
New Komeito 3%
Japanese Communist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party 2%
The People’s New Party 1%
Others 1%
Don’t know/can’t say 38%

 

Q6. Prime Minister Koizumi is not going to give the party’s official endorsement to those LDP Lower House Members who voted against the Postal Privatization Bill at the last Diet session, and is moving forward to field rival candidates to their constituencies. What do you think about this? Please choose one from the following two answers. (N=998)

Support the Prime Minister 40%
Fielding rival candidates is excessive 45%
Don’t know/can’t say 15%

 

Q7. Regarding the postal reforms, which of the following three positions do you support? Please choose only one. (N=988)

Prime Minister Koizumi’s postal privatization plan 44%
DPJ’s plan to downsize the postal savings and postal insurances while maintaining the Japan Post as a public entity 22%
Maintaining the Japan Post as it is 18%
Others 0%
Don’t know/can’t say 16%

 

Q8. Fiscal reform is also a big issue in the upcoming Lower House elections. What do you think about raising the consumption tax rate? Please choose one from the following four answers. (N=988)

Acceptable under the current fiscal conditions 16%
Acceptable if the raised portion is spent for limited projects such as the government pension plans, etc. 29%
Should maintain the current rate 33%
Should abolish the consumption tax 9%
Others 1%
Don’t know/can’t say 11%

 

Q9. Each party touches upon a variety of foreign policy issues in their party platforms. Which area in foreign policy do you think should be prioritized? Please choose as many as apply from the following seven answers. (N=988)

Further strengthening Japan-U.S. alliance 14%
Improving the relationships with neighboring countries such as China, South Korea, etc. 50%
Gaining the permanent membership at the UN Security Council 13%
Solving the northern territorial issue 16%
Solving North Korea’s nuclear development and abductee issues 55%
Early withdrawal of the Self-Defense Forces from Iraq 27%
Involvement in global environmental issues 38%
Others 0%
Don’t know/can’t say 13%

F1. Gender (judged by interviewers, N=988)

Male 44%
Female 56%
Unknown 0%

 

F2. Age (N=988)

20s 9%
30s 16%
40s 18%
50s 20%
60s 18%
Over 70 17%
Refuse to answer 2%

F3. What is your occupation? Please choose one from the following. (N=988)

Agriculture, forestry, fishery 3%
Employed (corporate employee, bureaucrat, teacher, etc.) 46%
Self-employed (business, engineer), freelance (including family business) 10%
House wife (without any outside job) 21%
Student 1%
Unemployed 16%
Refuse to answer 2%

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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