Asahi Shimbun September 2008 Special Opinion Poll (08-17)

Key Issues
  • LDP Presidency
  • Economy
  • DPJ and President Ozawa
Dates Conducted

September 10 and 11, 2008

Date Released

September 12, 2008 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun)


The poll was conducted by telephone from the evening of September 10 through the evening of September 11 with voters from across Japan, whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random. Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD). The total number of those polled was 1,086, with a 61% response rate. Decimals were rounded up. Portions of some answers have been abbreviated.


Q1. Which political party do you currently support? (The figures in parentheses are the results of a survey conducted on September 2 and 3.)

Liberal Democratic Party 29% (29)
Democratic Party of Japan 19% (21)
Komeito 2% (3)
Japan Communist Party 2% (1)
Social Democratic Party 1% (2)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
The New Party of Japan 0% (0)
Other 0% (0)
Do not support any party 40% (7)

Q2. The election process for president of the Liberal Democratic Party has begun. The next president of the LDP will become the de facto prime minister. Are you interested in the election of the LDP president, or not? (The figures in parentheses are the results of a survey conducted on September 15 and 16, 2007.)

Interested 61% (69)
Not interested 37% (29)


Q3. The following five people are competing in the election for president of the LDP: Nobuteru Ishihara, Yuriko Koike, Taro Aso, Shigeru Ishiba and Kaoru Yosano. Which of these do you think is most suited to be the next prime minister?

Nobuteru Ishihara 10%
Yuriko Koike 8%
Taro Aso 42%
Shigeru Ishiba 3%
Kaoru Yosano 6%


SQ1. Why? (From left to right, the figures represent each candidate’s “policies and principles,” “ability to follow through” and “likability.”

Ishihara 21% 36% 33%
Koike 25% 23% 45%
Aso 16% 53% 21%
Ishiba 45% 34% 11%
Yosano 77% 18% 6%

Q4. Does the fact that several people are vying for LDP president change your impression of the LDP for the better, for the worse, or not at all?

For the better 11%
For the worse 21%
Not much at all 65%


Q5. On which issue would you like to see the government place the highest priority? Please select one from the following list:

Pensions and social security 37%
The economy and fiscal issues 40%
Foreign policy and security 7%
Economic disparities 12%

Q6.  Please give your opinion on the following three questions concerning economic policy. First, some think that economic measures should receive top priority, rather than fiscal reconstruction. Do you agree or disagree with this idea?

Agree 73%
Disagree 20%

Q7. Next, do you agree or disagree with the idea that fiscal reconstruction requires a tax increase?

Agree 40%
Disagree 52%


Q8. Finally, do you agree or disagree with the idea that it is more important to promote structural change—such as the deregulation pursued by the Koizumi cabinet—than to use money to address the economic situation?

Agree 43%
Disagree 41%


Q9. The next questions concern the Democratic Party of Japan. As a result of the DPJ election, Mr. Ozawa will continue to serve as president of the party. Do you think it is a good thing that Mr. Ozawa will stay on as DPJ president, or not?

Good thing 41%
Not a good thing 35%

Q10. Since Mr. Ozawa faced no opposition for DPJ president, there was no campaigning process. Did this change your impression of the DPJ for the better, for the worse, or not at all?

For the better 4%
For the worse 26%
Not at all 67%


The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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