Asahi Shimbun Regular Public Opinion Poll (11/13/2012)

Key Issues
  • Support for Noda Cabinet
  • Party Preference
  • Upcoming Elections
  • 3/11 Earthquake Reconstruction Fund
  • TPP
  • Nuclear Energy
Dates Conducted

November 10 and 11, 2012

Date Released

November 13, 2012 (Morning Edition)

Methodology

On both the November 10th and 11th, Asahi surveyed voters nationwide (excluding a part of Fukushima prefecture) using the ‘Asahi RDD’ method in which the surveyor makes phone calls to the numbers chosen at random by a computer. 3128 cases were household telephone numbers.  1611 people made valid answers.  Response rate was 52%.

The numbers are percentages. Numbers below the decimal point are rounded off. Some of the questions and answers are taken out. ◆’s are questions to everyone. ◇’s are follow-up questions. Percentages of the correspondents are divided within the previous response. Numbers within the〈 〉are percentages relevant to the whole. Numbers in the parentheses are the previous results from October 20 and 21.

Survey

Q1. ◆Do you support Noda Cabinet?

Support

18 (18)

Do not support

64 (59)

SQ1. ◇Why? (Choose one from the following. The numbers on the left are the breakdown of the supporting side, on the right of the opposing side.)

Support (18%)

Do not Support (64%)

The prime minister is Noda

28 <5>

2<1>

The administration is centered around Democratic Party of Japan

18 <3>

15 <10>

Policies

24 <4>

31 <20>

Ability to get things done

19 <4>

48 <30>

Q2. ◆Which political party do you currently support?

Democratic Party of Japan

12 (11)

Liberal Democratic Party

19 (26)

People's Life First Party

1 (0)

New Komeito

3 (2)

Japan Communist Party

2 (2)

New Kizuna Party

0 (0)

Social Democratic Party

1 (1)

Your Party

0 (0)

People’s New Party

0 (0)

Japan Restoration Party

3 (2)

Earth・True Democratic Party of Japan

0 (0)

Tax Reduction Party

0 (0)

Sunrise Party of Japan

0 (0)

New Party Nippon

0 (0)

New Renaissance Party

0 (0)

Other

0 (0)

Do not support particular party

49 (46)

No answer

10 (10)

Q3. ◆Supposing you are to vote in the Lower House election, which political party would you like to vote for proportional representation?

Democratic Party of Japan

12 (13)

Liberal Democratic Party

29 (36)

People's Life First Party

1 (1)

New Komeito

4 (2)

Japan Communist Party

3 (3)

New Kizuna Party

0 (0)

Social Democratic Party

2 (2)

Your Party

0 (1)

People’s New Party

0 (0)

Japan Restoration Party

5 (3)

Earth・True Democratic Party of Japan

0 (0)

Tax Reduction Party

0 (0)

Sunrise Party of Japan

0 (0)

New Party Nippon

0 (0)

New Renaissance Party

0 (0)

Other

4 (2)

Do not support particular party

49 (46)

No answer

40 (37)

Q4. ◆After the Lower House elections, what type of government do you think would be best?

LDP majority government 7
DPJ majority government 25
An LDP-DPJ coalition government 26
A government with neither LDP nor DPJ majority 32

Q5. ◆Do you think it would be better to dissolve and hold elections for the Lower House this year or next year?

This year 49 (49)
Next year 40 (35)

Q6. ◆Last year the Supreme Court decided that the Lower House single-member constituency ballot disparity had become an unconstitutional situation. Do you think the Lower House should allow this situation or should it stop?

Allow 31 (28)
Stop 46 (42)

Q7. ◆Regarding Minister of Science Tanaka Makiko plans not to recognize the establishment the establishment of three universities next spring, the Minister has finally decided to observe the establishments. Do you value Minister Tanaka’s actions in this case?

Value 28
Do no value 59

Q8. ◆The following question is regarding Osaka Mayor Hashimoto’s work as representative of Japan Restoration Party. Do you think Japan Restoration Party wants to hold an influential seat?

Wants to 48
Does not want to 40

Q9. ◆Former Tokyo Governor Ishihara Shintaro has stated that he will establish a new party. Do you expect him to establish a new party?

Expect 39
Do not expect 52

Q10. ◆If a some third party coordinate in the next election, how important would this coordination be?

Very important 29
Somewhat important 46
Not very important 15
Not important at all 4

Q11. ◆ The national nuclear power regulatory commission is investigating whether or not Fukui prefecture’s Ooi power plant is susceptible to earthquakes. Should the plant close until the results of this study or should it continue operation?

Stop 58
Continue 31

Q12. ◆The proposed budget for reconstruction after the 3/11 Earthquake includes projects for regions that were not directly affected by the disaster. Do you think this is an issue?

It is a major issue 67
There is a question of degree 25
It is not really an issue 3
It is not an issue at all 1

Q13. ◆Japan is considering participation in the TPP, which is a free trade agreement between Pacific states on economic liberalization. How much interest do you have in Japan’s participation in the TPP?

Great interest 31
A degree of interest 46
Not much interest 16
No interest at all 4

Q14. ◆Do you agree with Japanese participation in the TPP?

Agree 48
Disagree 25

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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