Asahi Shimbun Regular Public Opinion Poll (06/22/2015)

Key Issues
  • Support for Prime Minister Abe
  • Views on Security Policy
  • Views on the Civil Age of Majority
Dates Conducted

June 20-21, 2015

Date Released

June 22, 2015

Methodology

Researchers called eligible voters across the country (excluding certain districts in Fukushima) on June 20 and 21. The phone numbers were generated randomly using the “Asahi RDD” method. 3750 of the total computer-generated numbers represented valid home phone numbers. Out of this total, the response rate was 49% with 1831 valid responses.

Notes on poll information: Poll numbers are percentages. Decimals are rounded to the nearest whole number. Some questions and answers have been abbreviated. Numbers in parentheses are results from an earlier May 16-17, 2015 poll.

Survey

1) Do you support the Abe cabinet?

Yes 39 (45)
No 37 (32)

2) Why do you support or not support the Abe cabinet? (Participants chose from a selection of answers. The left data column represents the 39% who support the Abe cabinet, and the right data column represents the 37% who do not support the Abe cabinet)

Abe is the Prime Minister 15 (6) 8 (3)
LDP-centered cabinet 23 (9) 18 (6)
Policy aspect 39 (15) 64 (24)
No particular reason 20 (8) 7 (3)

3) To the 39% who support the Abe cabinet: Will you continue to support the Abe cabinet?

Yes 47 (18)
No 49 (19)

4) To the 37% who do not support the Abe cabinet: Will you continue to withhold support from the Abe cabinet?

Yes 60 (22)
May support in the future 33 (12)

5) Which party do you currently support?

LDP 36 (39)
DPJ 7 (7)
Japan Restoration Party 2 (3)
Komeito 3 (3)
Party for Future Generations 0 (0)
Japan Communist Party 3 (4)
People’s Life Party 0(0)
Social Democratic Party 1 (0)
Genki Party 0 (0)
New Renaissance Party 0 (0)
Other 0(1)
Do not support a particular party 41 (33)
No answer/Do not know 7 (10)    

6) Do you believe that if one or more opposition parties break apart and/or merge together, a new party may emerge that counterbalances the LDP?

Yes 53
No 35

7) We will now ask about the security bill which has been presented to the current Diet. Do you agree with the bill, which allows for the use of collective self-defense, and expands SDF activities abroad?

Yes 29
No 53

8) Three constitutional scholars were called before the National Diet to testify about the security bill. All three called the bill unconstitutional. The Abe cabinet contests their assessment, saying that the bill is constitutional. Which assessment do you support—that of the scholars, or that of the Abe cabinet?

Yes 50
No 17

9) Do you think that the expanded overseas SDF activity indicated in this bill will increase the risk of SDF troops becoming involved in combat?

Yes 81
No 9

10) Do you think that if this security bill becomes law, then Japan’s ability to deter a foreign attack would improve?

Yes 33
No 40

11) Do you think that PM Abe has been courteous when addressing the public about the security bill?

Yes 12
No 69

12) The Abe administration aims to pass the new security bill in the Diet’s current term. Do you believe that it must be passed within this term?

Yes 17 (23)
No 65 (60)

13) Japan Pension Service records were recently hacked, leaking the names and addresses of pension recipients and subscribers. Do you approve of Abe’s reaction to this event?

Yes 9
No 64

14) Do you support lowering the national voting age—from 20 to 18 years of age?

Yes 55
No 30

15) The age of majority is 20 according to civil law. Minors, defined as those under the age of 20, must have consent from a guardian to marry or to enter into a contract. Do you support lowering the age of majority to 18?

Yes 38
No 46

16) Minors are treated differently than adults in the criminal justice system. As a matter of principle, when minors commit a crime they are sent to reform schools rather than to prison. Do you support the current definition of minors as people under the age of 20? Or do you think that the definition should be changed, to indicate people under-18 years of age?

The under-20 definition is fine 12
Change the definition to under-18 79

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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