Asahi Shimbun Regular Public Opinion Poll (05/26/14)

Key Issues
  • Support for Prime Minister Abe
  • Support for Collective Self-Defense
  • Interest in 2014 Brazil World Cup
Dates Conducted

May 24th and 25th, 2014

Date Released

May 26th, 2014

Methodology

On both May 24th and 25th, researchers called numbers arbitrary formulated by the computer, also known as the “Asahi RDD” method. The survey was done nationwide (excluding some parts of Fukushima prefecture). There were 3,728 sets of numbers that turned out to be valid home phone numbers, 1657 valid responses; therefore the response rate was 44%.
(Numbers indicated are in percentages. The numbers are rounded to the nearest ones. Some of the questions and answers are omitted. Questions asked to all participants are indicated by ◆. Follow up questions are indicated by ◇. Numbers within 〈 〉represent its ratio to all the participants. Numbers within (   ) are results from April 19th and 20th

Survey

Q1. ◆ Do you support the Abe Cabinet?

Yes 49 (48)
No 30 (29)

 

Q1.  a) ◇ What is your reasoning? (Participants were asked to choose one reason from a provided selection. Answers on the left represent the 49% who support the cabinet, and those on the right represent the 30% who are opposed.

Support Opposed
Abe is the PM 9〈4〉 7〈2〉
LDP-centered cabinet 21〈10〉 21〈6〉
Policy Aspects 46〈22〉 62〈19〉
No particular reason 22〈11〉 9〈3〉

 

Q2. ◆ Which party do you currently support?

Liberal Democratic Party 37 (32)
Democratic Party Japan 5 (6)
Japan Restoration Party 1 (1)
New Komeito 3 (3)
Your Party 0 (0)
Yuinotoh Party 0 (0)
Japan Communist Party 2 (2)
People’s Life Party 0 (0)
Social Democratic Party 1 (0)
Green Wind 0 (0)
New Party Daichi 0 (0)
New Renaissance Party 0 (0)
Other 1 (0)
Do not support a particular party 44 (48)
No answer/Do not know 6 (8)

 

Q3. ◆ The right to collective self-defense is the right to fight with the Japanese close allies, such as the U.S., if those allies are attacked even if Japan itself is not under attack.  So far, the Japanese Government had interpreted the Constitution of Japan to not allow Japan to carry on the right to collective self-defense, but the Abe Administration plans to reinterpret the Constitution of Japan so that Japan can exercise the right to collective self-defense. Are you for or against for allowing the use of collective self-defense by changing the interpretation of the Constitution?

Yes 29 (27)
No 55 (56)

 

Q4. ◆ Prime Minister Abe plans to change the interpretation of the  constitution of Japan to allow the use the right to collective self-defense by the  Cabinet’s judgment and it is not based on discussions at the Diet and the nation’s approval. Do you think this way of proceeding is appropriate?

Appropriate 18
Inappropriate 67

 

Q5. ◆ There are those who say that Japan wielding the right to collective self-defense will increase the caution of the area and make conflict less likely. There are also those who say that it will heighten the tension of the area and make conflict more likely to break out. Which side do you agree with?

It will make conflict less likely 23
It will make conflict more likely 50

 

Q6. ◆ If Japan was to be able to exercise  the right to collective self-defense, do you think Japan would be more likely to be brought into its allies’ conflicts?

Yes 75
No 15

 

Q7. ◆ On foreign policy, do you think PM Abe is proactively interacting with China and South Korea?

Yes 28
No 55

 

Q8. ◆ Is there a need for a political party that can compete with the LDP?

Yes 79
No 12

 

Q9. ◆Which party do you expect will compete with the LDP?

Liberal Democratic Party 17
Democratic Party Japan 5
Japan Restoration Party -
New Komeito 4
Your Party 1
Yuinotoh Party 0
Japan Communist Party 3
People’s Life Party 0
Social Democratic Party 0
Green Wind -
New Party Daichi 0
New Renaissance Party 0
Other 1
Do not support a particular party 52
No answer/Do not know 17

 

Q10. ◆ Do you agree that nuclear reactors that had been shut down should be restarted?

Agree 28
Disagree 59

 

Q11. ◆ The FIFA world cup will be held in Brazil next month, do you have interest in this year’s world cup? Have interest 62 Do not have interest 35

Yes 62
No 35

 

Q12. ◆ At the last world cup held in South Africa, the Japanese team made it into the round of 16. At Brazil, how will the Japanese team fare?

To the round of 16 again 33
To the round of 8 or better 40
During the first round 15

 

Q13. ◆ Do you think the Japanese team is starting to reach a comparable talent level to that of South American or European powerhouses?

Yes 67
No 20

 

Q14. ◆ Who among the Japanese team do you want to see contribute the most? Please list up one person.(Free answer, answers with less than 1% omitted)

Keisuka Honda 20
Shinji Kagawa 12
Nagatomo Yuto 9
Yoshito Okubo 7
Yasuhito Endo 3
Shinji Okazaki 3
Makoto Hasebe 2
Toshihiro Aoyama 1
Uchida Atsuto 1
Osako Yuya 1
Kakitani Yoichiro 1
Kawashima Eiji 1

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