Asahi Shimbun Regular Public Opinion Poll (05/19/2015)

Key Issues
  • Support for Prime Minister Abe
  • Views on Security Policy
  • Views on nuclear power plants
Dates Conducted

May 16-17, 2015

Date Released

May 19, 2015

Methodology

Researchers called citizens across the country (excluding certain districts in Fukushima) on May 16 and 17. The phone numbers were generated randomly using the “Asahi RDD” method. 4088 of the total computer-generated numbers represented valid home phone numbers. Out of this total, the response rate was 49% with 1988 valid responses.

Notes on poll information: Poll numbers are percentages. Decimals are rounded to the nearest whole number. Some questions and answers have been abbreviated. Numbers in parentheses are results from an earlier April 18-19, 2015 poll.

Survey

1) Do you support the Abe cabinet?

Yes 45 (44)
No 32 (35)

 

 

2) Why do you support or not support the Abe cabinet? (Participants chose from a selection of answers. The left data column represents the 45% who support the Abe cabinet, and the right data column represents the 32% who do not support the Abe cabinet)

Abe is the Prime Minister 16 (7) 5 (2)
LDP-centered cabinet 22 (10) 21 (7)
Policy aspect 44 (20) 63 (20)
No particular reason 16 (7) 8 (3)

 

3) To those who support the Abe cabinet: Will you continue to support the Abe cabinet?

Yes 45 (20)
No 49 (22)

 

 

4) To those who do not support the Abe cabinet: Will you continue to withhold support from the Abe cabinet?

Yes 62 (20)
No 31 (10)

 

5) Which party do you currently support?

LDP 39 (36)
DPJ 7 (7)
Japan Restoration Party 3 (3)
Komeito 3 (4)
Party for Future Generations 0 (0)
Japan Communist Party 4 (5)
People’s Life Party 0(0)
Social Democratic Party 0 (1)
Genki Party 0 (0)
Sunrise Party 0 (0)
New Renaissance Party 0 (0)
Other 1 (0)
Do not support a particular party 33 (34)
No answer/Do not know 10 (10)    

 

6) Do you agree with the national security bill that has been presented to the current Diet? The bill permits the use of collective self-defense.

Yes 33
No 43

 

 

7) In the case of an international situation that threatens Japanese peace and security, the Self-Defense Forces (SDF) may support U.S. forces as they diminish the situation. However, the SDF may only provide support within Japan’s immediate geographical vicinity. Do you support the bill that would extend the geographical reach of foreign military support?

Yes 29
No 53

 

 

8) We will now ask about SDF deployment, in case of international conflicts that do not threaten to Japanese peace and security. At the present time, the Diet is required to pass a new law each time they wish to deploy the SDF in these circumstances. The new bill would allow the government to deploy SDF forces abroad without passing a new law each time. Do you support this bill?

Yes 30
No 54

 

 

9) Under the new national security bill, collective self-defense and military support operations may only be executed with majority Diet approval. Do you think this approval requirement acts as a check on SDF activities?

Yes 48
No 32

 

 

10) PM Abe argues that “Japan will never get caught up in a U.S. war.” Do you agree with this?

Yes 19
No 68

 

11) The Abe administration aims to pass the new national security bill in the Diet’s current term. Do you believe that it must be passed within this term?

Yes 23
No 60

 

 

12) This year the Japanese and U.S. governments revised the Guidelines for Defense Cooperation. The revision strengthened the Japan-U.S. security alliance, and expanded the possibilities for SDF - U.S. military cooperation. Do you support this revision?

Yes 45
No 32

 

 

13) In the revised Guidelines, America promises to participate in SDF defense of the Senkaku islands. Do you approve of this?

Yes 61
No 20

 

 

14) What should be done about nuclear energy?

Cease use immediately 16
Cease use in the near future 56
Continue to use 23  

 

 

15) The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) released plans to decrease nuclear energy use by the year 2030. By that year, nuclear energy would account for 20- 22% of national power. Do you think 20-22% is too high, or too low?

Too high 35
Too low 7
It is fine 34

 

 

16) Do you support reopening nuclear power plants?

Yes 28
No 56

 

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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