Asahi Shimbun October 2008 Special Opinion Poll (Second in a Series Before the House of Representatives Election) (08-26)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Upcoming general election for the House of Representatives
  • Prime Minister Aso vs. DPJ President Ozawa
  • Determining factors/issues for choosing party/candidate
  • Economic policies
Dates Conducted

October 11 and 12, 2008

Date Released

October 15, 2008 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun)

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on October 11 and 12 from across Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random.  Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD).  The total number of those polled was 1040, with a 60% response rate.

Survey

Q1.  The following question concerns current politics.  Do you support the Aso Cabinet, or not?

Support 42%
Do not support 38%

 

Q2.  Which political party do you currently support?

Liberal Democratic Party 30%
Democratic Party ofJapan 22%
Komeito 4%
JapanCommunist Party 2%
Social Democratic Party 1%
The People’s New Party 0%
Reform Club 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0%
Other 0%
Do not support any party 34%
Can not say; Do not know 7%

 

Q3.  A general election will be held for the House of Representatives soon.  To what extent are you interested in this election?  Please select one from the following four choices:

Very interested 38%
Somewhat interested 39%
Not very interested 16%
Not at all interested 6%

 

Q4.  If the general election were being held today, which party would you vote for in your proportional-representation district?  Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 32%
Democratic Party ofJapan 32%
Komeito 5%
JapanCommunist Party 4%
Social Democratic Party 1%
The People’s New Party 0%
Reform Club 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0%
Other 0%
Can not say; Do not know 26%

 

Q5.  Next, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your small electoral district?  Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 30%
Democratic Party ofJapan 29%
Komeito 4%
JapanCommunist Party 3%
Social Democratic Party 0%
The People’s New Party 0%
Reform Club 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0%
Other 0%
Independent candidate 2%
Can not say; Do not know 32%

 

Q6. Do you think that occasional changes of administration, in which the ruling and opposition parties switch positions, would be good for Japanese politics, or not?

Administration centered on the LDP 32%
Administration centered on the DPJ 38%

 

Q7.  Comparing Prime Minister Aso and JDP President Ozawa, which do you think is more suited to be prime minister?

Mr.Aso 53%
Mr. Ozawa 20%

 

Q8.  Do you think that occasional changes of administration, in which the ruling and opposition parties switch positions, would be good for Japanese politics, or not?

Agree 70%
Disagree 20%

 

Q9.  When determining which party or candidate to vote for in the upcoming general elections, how important are the following issues in the next three questions to you?  First, are economic policies important to you?

Important 90%
Not important 5%

 

Q10.  Next, is the medical system for late-stage seniors problem important to you?

Important 76%
Not important 20%

 

Q11.  Finally, is the pension records problem important to you?

Important 75%
Not important 21%

 

Q12.  Changing topics, the Japan Maritime Self Defense Force is conducting refueling activities in the Indian Ocean in support of the multinational army fighting the war on terror in Afghanistan .  A bill is now being deliberated in the Diet to continue these activities.  Do you think that it is necessary or not for the Japan Maritime Self Defense Force to continue refueling activities in the Indian Ocean ?

Necessary 42%
Not necessary 42%

 

Q13.  Currently, in the Diet is in deliberations over a supplementary budget and they are considering issuing deficit-covering bonds to aid the economy.  Are you in favor of issuing deficit-covering bonds to boost the economy, or are you opposed?

In favor 24%
Oppose 56%

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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