Asahi Shimbun November 2008 Special Opinion Poll (Fourth in a Series Before the House of Representatives Election) (08-30)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • Upcoming general election for the House of Representatives
  • Prime Minister Aso vs. DPJ President Ozawa
  • Prime Minister Aso’s economic policies
Dates Conducted

November 8 and 9, 2008

Date Released

November 11, 2008 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun)

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on November 8 and 9 with voters from across Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random.  Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD).  The total number of those polled was 1100, with a 60% response rate.  Decimals were rounded up.  The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered.  The numbers in ( ) are the results from a poll conducted on October 25 and 26, 2008.

In anticipation of general elections these series of special opinion polls have been conducted every other week since October 4 and 5.  We will continue to conduct these series of special polls in the future as political circumstances warrant.

Survey

Q1.  The following question concerns current politics.  Do you support the Aso Cabinet, or not?

Support 37% (41)
Do not support 41% (38)

 

SQ1.  Why?  Please select one from the following four choices: (The results in the left column are from the 37% who answered “support,” and the results in the right column are from the 41% who answered “do not support.”)

Mr. Aso is the Prime Minister 25% [9] 8% [3]
The cabinet is primarily composed of LDP members 28% [10] 33% [13]
Policies of the cabinet 34% [13] 46% [19]
The ministers in the cabinet 8% [3] 10% [4]

 

Q2.  Which political party do you currently support?

Liberal Democratic Party 30% (32)
Democratic Party ofJapan 24% (19)
Komeito 4% (4)
JapanCommunist Party 2% (2)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
Reform Club 0% (0)
The New Party ofJapan 0% (0)
Other 0% (0)
Do not support any party 33% (35)
Can not say; Do not know 6% (7)

Q3.  A general election will be held for the House of Representatives soon.  To what extent are you interested in this election?  Please select one from the following four choices:

Very interested 34% (36)
Somewhat interested 40% (43)
Not very interested 22% (17)
Not at all interested 4% (4)

 

Q4.  If the general election were being held today, which party would you vote for in your proportional-representation district?  Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 30% (33)
Democratic Party ofJapan 33% (30)
Komeito 5% (4)
JapanCommunist Party 4% (2)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
Reform Club 0% (0)
The New Party ofJapan 0% (0)
Other 1% (1)
Can not say; Do not know 26% (29)

Q5.  Do you think that it would be best for the administration to continue to be centered on the LDP?  Or do you think that there should be a change, to an administration centered on the Democratic Party of Japan?

Administration centered on the LDP 29% (33)
Administration centered on the DPJ 40% (37)

Q6.  Comparing Prime Minister Aso and JDP President Ozawa, which do you think is more suited to be prime minister?

Mr. Aso 49% (52)
Mr. Ozawa 23% (20)

Q7.  Do you think that occasional changes of administration, in which the ruling and opposition parties switch positions, would be good for Japanese politics, or not?

Agree 72% (73)
Disagree 17% (19)

 

Q8.  The government recently announced 2 trillion yen fixed-sum benefits would be distributed among households to help reduce financial insecurities.  Do you think this policy is necessary or not?

Necessary 26%
Not necessary 63%

Q9.  Prime Minister Aso announced that raising the consumption tax in three years would help the recovery of the economy.  Do you support or not support Prime Minister Aso?

Support 45%
Do not support 44%

Q10.  Prime Minister Aso delayed dissolving the House of the Representatives and holding general elections in order to prioritize economic policy.  Do you support or not support the Prime Minister Aso’s decision?

Support 46%
Do not support 37%

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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