March 10 and 11, 2007
March 13, 2007
The poll was conducted by telephone on March 10 and 11, 2007, of voters from across Japan using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD). The total number of those polled was 1788, with a 52% response rate.
The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered. The numbers in ( ) are the results from a poll conducted February 17 and 18, 2007.
The approval rating of Shinzo Abe’s administration has continued to decline due to public opinion concerning trust in his cabinet and his efforts towards policy issues. One such issue has been Constitution reform, for which Abe wishes to set up a referendum in the Diet. The results of the Abe administration’s policy efforts, as well as the state of his administration’s public approval rating, will determine the LDP’s success in the upcoming House of Councilors election.
Q1. Do you support the Abe cabinet?
|Do not support||41% (40)|
QS1. Why? (Choose one of the following. The results in the left column are those 38% who answered “support,” and on the numbers in the right column are the 41% who answered “Do not support.”)
|Abe is the Prime Minister||17% (6)||6% (2)|
|The cabinet is primarily composed of LDP members||26% (10)||19% (8)|
|Policies of the cabinet||23% (9)||60% (25)|
|Just because||31% (12)||13% (5)|
Q2. Which political party to you currently support?
|Liberal Democratic Party||32% (29)|
|Democratic Party ofJapan||12% (13)|
|JapanCommunist Party||2% (2)|
|Social Democratic Party||1% (2)|
|The People’s New Party||0% (0)|
|The New Party ofJapan||0% (0)|
|Do not support any party||45% (45)|
|No answer/ do not know||5% (6)|
Q3. Almost six months have passed since the inauguration of Prime Minister Abe. The following questions concern the following four policies tackled by the Abe Cabinet: economic policy, countermeasures against income disparity, education reform, and diplomacy in Asia. First of all, do you support their efforts towards economic policy?
|Does not support||54%|
QS1.Next, do you support the Abe administration’s efforts towards implementing countermeasures against income disparity?
|Do not support||62%|
QS2. Now then, do you support their efforts towards education reform?
|Do not support||43%|
QS3. And finally, do you support their efforts towards diplomacy in Asia?
|Do not support||40%|
Q4. Do you think that Abe presents his political views and beliefs accurately? Or do you find his presentation to be vague? (The numbers in < > correspond to results of the poll conducted on November 11 and 12, 2006)
|Political views and beliefs are presented accurately||24% <31>|
|Political views and beliefs are presented vaguely||66% <55>|
Q5. The following question concerns the national referendum bill [to change the Constitution], the current focus of the National Diet. Majority rule is required in order to reform the Constitution, but there is no law in place to determine that procedure. Would you consider making a law that determines the procedures of national referendum to be necessary?
|It is necessary||68%|
|It is unnecessary||19%|
Q6. Prime Minister Abe wishes to establish a national referendum in the Diet, as part of his pursuit of constitutional reform. Do you agree or disagree with Abe’s opinion, which is to approve the national referendum bill at the current Diet session?
Q7. Elections for the House of Councilors will be held this summer. Do you think the LDP can win under Prime Minister Abe or not? (Numbers in < > correspond to results of the poll conducted January 20 and 21, 2007)
|I think the LDP will win||42% <44>|
|I think the LDP will not win||34% <28>|
Follow-up Questions Concerning America in Iraq
March 10 and 11, 2007
March 15, 2007
- The Iraq War and Japan’s Self-Defense force
The United States military invaded Iraq in March of 2003, and this decision has been met by controversy and skepticism throughout the world. In Japan, the Diet approved a bill that would extend ASDF operations to Iraq to transport the U.S. troops In Japan, the Air Self-Defense Force was approved for dispatch into the country, in order to provide transportation support for American troops. While the original bill was only for one year of service, it has been extended multiple times, currently set to last until July of 2008.
Q1. Four years ago in March, America began the Iraq War. Right now, do you consider America’s decision to go to war to be correct or not? (Numbers in parentheses correspond to results of the poll conducted October 2 and 3, 2004)
|The decision was correct||12% (16)|
|The decision was incorrect||75% (71)|
Q2. President Bush announced a plan in January to augment the military force in Iraq, in order to counter the insurgency and bring about public order. Do you think that this increase in American military presence will lead to securing Iraq’s public order?
|Will lead to||15%|
|Will not lead to||70%|
Q3.President Bush is carrying out the “war on terror,” which started in Afghanistan, then subsequently spread to Iraq. Looking at the issue globally, do you think these military movements are related to staving off terrorism?
|It is related||24%|
|It is unrelated||57%|
Q4. Japan has currently deployed its Air Self-Defense Force to Iraq to provide transportation support to American troops and their allies. The basis of this deployment, the special measure law supporting Iraq’s reconstruction, will reach its four-year deadline in July. Do you support extending the law and maintaining the Air Self-Defense Force’s continued deployment?
|Do not support||69%|
Q5. Should the Japanese government continue to cooperate with the Bush administration’s policy in Iraq as they have up until now? Or do you think they should reconsider their cooperation?