Asahi Shimbun June 2008 Opinion Poll (08-12)

Key Issues
  • Support for the Fukuda Cabinet
  • Health care for late-stage senior citizens
  • Global warming
  • Reopening the investigation into the case of abducted Japanese citizens
Dates Conducted

June 14 and 15, 2008

Date Released

June 17, 2008 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun)


The poll was conducted by telephone on June 14 and 15 with voters throughout Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random. Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD). The total number of those polled was 2,040, with a 57% response rate. The numbers represent percentages. Decimals were rounded up. Portions of some answers have been abbreviated. The numbers in [ ] are the percentages of those polled as compared to the entire population of those who answered.  The numbers in (  ) are the results from a poll conducted on May 17 and 18, 2008.


Q1. The first question is about current politics. Do you support the Fukuda Cabinet, or not?

Support 23% (19)
Do not support 59% (65)


SQ1. Why? Please select one of the following options: (The results in the left column are the reasons given by the 23% who answered “support,” and the results in the right column are the reasons given by the 59% who answered “do not support.”)

Mr. Fukuda is the prime minister 14% [3] 3% [2]
The cabinet is composed primarily of LDP members 33% [8] 24% [14]
Policies of the cabinet 19% [4] 66% [39]
No particular reason 28% [6] 6% [4]


Q2. Which political party do you currently support?

Liberal Democratic Party 22% (22)
Democratic Party of Japan 22% (26)
Komeito 4% (3)
Japan Communist Party 2% (2)
Social Democratic Party 1% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
The New Party of Japan 0% (0)
Other 0% (0)
Do not support any party 41% (38)
No answer; Do not know 8% (8)

Q3. Do you think that the House of Representatives should be dissolved and a general election held as soon as possible, or do you think that there’s no need to rush?

As quickly as possible 41% (49)
No need to rush 45% (41)

Q4. If the general election were being held today, which party would you vote for in your proportional-representation district? Please answer with the party’s name.

Liberal Democratic Party 23% (23)
Democratic Party of Japan 36% (39)
Komeito 4% (3)
Japan Communist Party 3% (3)
Social Democratic Party 2% (1)
The People’s New Party 0% (0)
The New Party of Japan 0% (0)
Other 2% (1)
No answer; Do not know 30% (30)

Q5. The next questions are about the system of healthcare for late-stage senior citizens, which covers people aged 75 and above. The government and ruling parties want to maintain this system by instituting reforms that would, among other things, lower insurance premiums for low-income seniors. However, some opposition parties, including the Democratic Party of Japan, are calling for the system’s elimination. Do you prefer the government and ruling parties’ position, or the opposition parties’ position?

Government’s position 30% (30)
Opposition parties’ position 49% (53)

Q6. The DPJ and other parties introduced and adopted a censure resolution in the House of Councillors to express their lack of support for the prime minister’s position on the late-stage senior citizen healthcare system and other issues. Do you positively evaluate the adoption of the censure motion, or not?

Positively evaluate 42%
Do not positively evaluate 39%

Q7. In the current Diet, the ruling party has a majority in the House of Representatives while opposition parties are a majority in the House of Councillors, a situation known as a “divided Diet.” Looking back over this session of the Diet, do you think it has been a good thing that no single party holds a majority in both the House of Representatives and House of Councillors, or not?

Good thing 41%
Not a good thing 36%


Q8. The following questions are about global warming. Prior to next month’s G8 Summit in Toyako, Hokkaido, Prime Minister Fukuda has proposed a comprehensive package of measures on the environment that includes a long-term goal to reduce emissions of gases such as carbon dioxide. Do you positively evaluate the fact that the prime minister made this proposal, or not?

Positively evaluate 74%
Do not positively evaluate 13%

Q9. Under Mr. Fukuda’s proposal, individual companies would be granted quotas allowing them to emit a certain amount of carbon dioxide, and they would be free to buy and sell these emission rights. The proposal calls for the system to begin this fall, on a trial basis. Some think that this sort of arrangement would help to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and other gases, but others worry that it would hamper corporate activity. Are you in favor of instituting an “emissions-trading system,” or opposed?

In favor 45%
Opposed 25%


Q10. During consultations between Japan and North Korea, the North Koreans promised to reopen an investigation into the case of abducted Japanese citizens. In response, Japan will relax some of its economic sanctions against that country. Do you think that these developments hold promise for a resolution of the abduction issue, or not?

Promising 12%
Not promising 80%


The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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