Asahi Shimbun July 2007 Opinion Poll (07-15)

Key Issues
  • July Upper House Election
Dates Conducted

June 9 and 10, 2007; June 16 and 17, 2007; June 23 and 24, 2007; and June 30 and July 1, 2007

Date Released

July 5, 2007

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on June 9 and 10, 2007; June 16 and 17, 2007; June 23 and 24, 2007; and June 30 and July 1, 2007, of voters from across Japan using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD). The total number of those polled was 1038 on June 9-10, with a 60% response rate; 1041 on June 16-17, with a 59% response rate; 1095 on June 23-24, with a 64% response rate; and 1013 on June 30-July 1, with a 62% response rate.

Survey

Q1. Do you support the Abe cabinet?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Support 34 32 31 28
Do Not Support 48 51 48 48

 

Q2. Which political party do you currently support?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Liberal Democratic Party 28 27 27 25
Democratic Party of Japan 19 17 15 16
Komeito 3 2 4 3
Japan Communist Party 3 3 2 2
Social Democratic Party 1 1 1 1
The People’s New Party 0 1 0 0
The New Party of Japan 0 0 0 0
Others 0 1 0 0
Do not support any party 39 40 44 39
No answer/do not know 7 8 7 14

 

Q3. There will be an election for the House of Councilors in July. How interested are you in this House of Councilors election? (Choose one.)

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Very interested 33 33 33 34
Somewhat interested 41 42 42 40
Not very interested 21 20 19 21
Not at all interested 5 5 5 4

 

Q4. During the House of Councilors election, votes will be cast in electoral districts and proportional-representational blocks. Have you decided which party’s candidate you will vote for in your electoral district?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Have decided 40 36 40 41
Have not decided 59 62 58 56

 

Q5. Next, have you decided for the proportional-representation block?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Have decided 36 34 36 33
Have not decided 62 64 61 63

 

Q6. If the election were held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your electoral district? Please answer with the party’s name.

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Liberal Democratic Party 27 27 26 26
Democratic Party of Japan 28 28 26 25
Komeito 4 3 5 4
Japan Communist Party 5 4 3 3
Social Democratic Party 1 2 2 1
The People’s New Party 0 1 0 0
The New Party of Japan 0 0 0 0
Others 0 0 0 0
Independent candidate 1 1 1 1
No answer/do not know 34 34 37 40

 

Q7. If the election were held today, which party or party’s candidate would you vote for in your proportional-representation block? Please answer with the party’s name.

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Liberal Democratic Party 23 23 24 19
Democratic Party of Japan 29 26 23 25
Komeito 4 3 5 5
Japan Communist Party 4 4 3 3
Social Democratic Party 1 2 2 2
The People’s New Party 0 1 1 0
The New Party of Japan 0 0 0 0
Others 1 1 1 1
No answer/do not know 38 40 41 45

 

Q8. Would you like the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partners to hold a majority of seats in the House of Councilors as a result of the election? Or would you like the Democratic Party of Japan and other opposition parties will hold a majority of seats?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
LDP and coalition parties 29 27 28 25
DPJ and other opposition parties 50 50 46 48

 

Q9. Do you prefer a continuation of the administration [in power], composed primarily of the Liberal Democratic Party? Or do you prefer a change, to an administration composed primarily of the Democratic Party of Japan?

June 9-10 June 16-17 June 23-24 June 30-July 1
Administration composed of LDP 31 28 30 30
Administration composed of DPJ 38 40 34 35

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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