Asahi Shimbun Emergency Opinion Polls on the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Presidential Election (06-9)

Dates Conducted

September 20 and 21, 2006

Methodology

The poll was conducted by telephone on September 20 and 21, 2006, of voters from across Japan who were selected by the three-stage random selection method (the “Asahi RDD” method). The number of people who answered all the questions in full is 1062; the ratio of answers is 59%.

Survey

(Numbers shown are %, and are rounded out at the decimal. Sentences and answers are in part abridged.)

Figures in parenthesis are results from the poll conducted on September 8 and 9.

Q1. Which political parties do you support now?

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 38 (40)
Democratic Party ofJapan(DPJ) 14 (14)
Komeito 3 (3)
JapanCommunist Party (JCP) 2 (1)
Social Democratic Party ofJapan(SDPJ) 1 (2)
The People's New Party 0 (0)
The New PartyJapan 0 (0)
The Free (Liberal) Coalition 0 (0)
Other political parties 0 (1)
Do not support any party 35 (36)
No answer/do not know 7 (3)

 

Q2. Mr. Shinzo Abe was elected to be the new president at the LDP presidential election. Do you or do you not think his election as the new LDP president is good?

Good 52
Do not think so 22

 

Q3. Do you or do you not feel affinity toward Mr. Abe?

Feel affinity 59
Do not feel affinity 31

 

Q4. Do you think Mr. Abe has strong leadership, or not so much?

Has strong leadership 29
Not so much 53

 

Q5. Do you think Mr. Abe explains his policies, beliefs or ideas clearly, or do you think he is ambiguous?

Explains them clearly 38
Remains ambiguous 42

 

Q6. Do you think the LDP, with Mr. Abe as its president, will change for the better, for the worse, or remain unchanged?

Change for the better 17
Change for worse 3
Remain unchanged 70

 

Q7. Let us ask you a question regarding the LDP’s response to the Diet members who left LDP opposing the liberalization of the postal system at last year’s general election. Do you feel resistance to allowing these Diet members to return to the LDP, or do you now feel no such resistance?

Feel resistance 43
Do not feel resistance 42

 

Q8. Mr. Ichiro Ozawa was elected to be the representative of the Democratic Party of Japan. Do you expect much from Mr. Ozawa, or do you not?

Expect much 43
Do not expect much 44

 

Q9. Between the LDP’s Mr. Abe and the DPJ’s Mr. Ozawa, which do you think is more appropriate as the prime minister of Japan, Mr. Abe, or Mr. Ozawa?

Mr. Abe 57
Mr. Ozawa 22

 

Q10. Do you think the LDP-centered government should continue? Or, do you think it will be better to have a change to a DPJ-centered government?

LDP-centered government 43 (44)
DPJ-centered government 25 (34)

Disclaimer

The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation terms of use (see below).

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