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ASAHI SHIMBUN AUGUST 2009 EMERGENCY PUBLIC OPINION POLL #2 (P09-21)

Asahi Shimbun August 2009 Emergency Public Opinion Poll #2

Dates Conducted
August 15 and 16, 2009

Released
August 18, 2009 (Morning Edition of the Asahi Shimbun)

Methodology
The poll was conducted by telephone on August 15 and 16 with voters from across Japan , whose telephone numbers were selected by a computer at random.  Subjects were selected using a three-stage random sampling method (the Asahi RDD).  The total number of those polled was 1,730, with 1,011 responses and a 58% response rate.  Decimals were rounded up.  In instances where there are four columns of responses the first column are results from a poll conducted on July 4 and 5, 2009; the second column are results from a poll conducted on July 18 and 19, 2009; the third column are results from a poll conducted on August 1 and 2, 2009; and the fourth column are results from this poll conducted on August 15 and 16, 2009.

Key Issues

  • Support for the Aso Cabinet
  • House of Representatives general election

Disclaimer
The Mansfield Foundation is responsible for the translation of this Asahi Shimbun poll, subject to the Mansfield Foundation Terms of Use

 

Q1. Do you support or not support the Aso Cabinet?  

Support 20% 17% 18% 19%
Do not support 68% 69% 63% 65%

 

Q2. Which political party do you currently support?  

Liberal Democratic Party 24% 20% 24% 20%
Democratic Party ofJapan 25% 31% 26% 32%
NewKomeito 3% 3% 4% 2%
JapanCommunist Party 2% 2% 2% 4%
Social Democratic Party 1% 1% 1% 1%
The People’s New Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Your Party - - - 0%
Reform Club 0% 0% 0% 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Do not support any party 39% 35% 30% 34%
No Answer/Do not know 6% 8% 13% 6%

 

Q3.  To what extent are you interested in the upcoming House of Representatives general election?  Please select one from the following choices:  

Very interested 38% 43% 49% 49%
Somewhat interested 36% 38% 35% 38%
Not very interested 20% 13% 11% 12%
Not at all interested 6% 5% 4% 1%

 

Q4. If the general election were being held today, which party would you vote for in your proportional-representation district?   

Liberal Democratic Party 22% 19% 22% 21%
Democratic Party ofJapan 37% 42% 39% 40%
NewKomeito 4% 4% 5% 4%
JapanCommunist Party 4% 4% 3% 5%
Social Democratic Party 1% 1% 1% 2%
The People’s New Party 0% 1% 0% 1%
Your Party - - - 0%
Reform Club 0% 0% 0% 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other party 1% 1% 1% 0%
No Answer/Do not know 31% 28% 29% 27%

 

Q5.  Next, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your small electoral district?  Please answer with the party’s name.  

Liberal Democratic Party 22% 20% 22% 21%
Democratic Party ofJapan 32% 37% 37% 40%
NewKomeito 2% 3% 2% 2%
JapanCommunist Party 2% 2% 2% 3%
Social Democratic Party 1% 1% 1% 1%
The People’s New Party 0% 0% 0% 0%
Your Party - - - 0%
Reform Club 0% 0% 0% 0%
The New Party ofJapan 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other party 0% 0% 0% 2%
Independent candidate 2% 0% 1% 1%
No Answer/Do not know 39% 37% 35% 29%

 

Q6. Do you think it would be best for the administration to continue to be centered on the LDP?  Or do you think that there should be a change to an administration centered on the Democratic Party of Japan?  

Administration centered on the LDP 24% 22% 24% 21%
Administration centered on the DPJ 47% 49% 46% 49%

 

Q7. Between Prime Minister [Taro] Aso and DPJ President [Yukio] Hatoyama, who do you think is more suited to be prime minister?  

Mr.Aso 22% 21% 20% 20%
Mr.Hatoyama 42% 42% 40% 41%

 

Q8.  Each party has announced their manifesto.  When making your decision as to which candidate or which party to vote for in the upcoming election, to what extent are you conscious about their manifesto?  Please select one from the following choices:  

Very conscious 27%
Somewhat conscious 54%
Not very conscious 15%
Not at all conscious 3%

 

Q9.  The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has made a promise to increase each household’s take-home income by one million yen in 10 years.  Do you approve or not approve of this promise?  

Approve 21%
Do not approve 66%

 

Q10.  The LDP has made a promise to make the necessary measures to raise the consumption tax by 2011 once the economy recovers.  Do you approve or not approve of this promise?  

Approve 39%
Do not approve 52%

 

Q11.  The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) has promised to provide families with young children a monthly allowance of 26,000 yen.  This would be financed in part by abolishing the spousal tax deduction.  Do you approve or not approve of this promise?  

Approve 33%
Do not approve 55%

 

Q12.  The DPJ has promised to abolish public highway tolls and repay past debt from the highway through taxes.  Do you approve or not approve of this promise?

Approve 23%
Do not approve 67%

 

Q13.  Do you think there are financial resources available to achieve the various policy promises made by the LDP?  

Financial resources exist 8%
Feel unease over insufficient financial resources 83%

 

Q14.  Do you think there are financial resources available to achieve the various policy promises made by the DPJ?  

Financial resources exist 8%
Feel unease over insufficient financial resources 83%

 

 

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